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In this paper, we prove that finite state space non parametric hidden Markov models are identifiable as soon as the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and the emission probability distributions are linearly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Elisabeth Gassiat , Alice Cleynen , Stéphane Robin

We consider the problem of estimating an arbitrary dynamical parameter of an quantum open system in the input-output formalism. For irreducible Markov processes, we show that in the limit of large times the system-output state can be…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-09-02 Catalin Catana , Luc Bouten , Madalin Guta

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

Nonparametric identification and maximum likelihood estimation for finite-state hidden Markov models are investigated. We obtain identification of the parameters as well as the order of the Markov chain if the transition probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Grigory Alexandrovich , Hajo Holzmann , Anna Leister

In this paper, we develop methods of nonlinear filtering and prediction of an unobservable Markov chain with a finite set of states. This Markov chain controls coefficients of AR(p) model. Using observations generated by AR(p) model we have…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-10 Vasily Vasilyev , Alexander Dobrovidov

Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

We address the fundamental limits of learning unknown parameters of any stochastic process from time-series data, and discover exact closed-form expressions for how optimal inference scales with observation length. Given a parametrized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-09 Paul M. Riechers

In this paper we consider non parametric finite translation mixtures. We prove that all the parameters of the model are identifiable as soon as the matrix that defines the joint distribution of two consecutive latent variables is non…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-12 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau

Hierarchical parametric models consisting of observable and latent variables are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. For example, a mixture model is a representative hierarchical model for clustering. From the statistical point of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-24 Keisuke Yamazaki

By making use of martingale representations, we derive the asymptotic normality of particle filters in hidden Markov models and a relatively simple formula for their asymptotic variances. Although repeated resamplings result in complicated…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-19 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

Estimating multiparamter simultaneously as precise as possible is an important goal of quantum metrolo- gy. As a first step to this end, here we give a condition determining whether two arbitrary parameters can be estimated simultaneously…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-02-17 Ping Yue , Li Ge , Qiang Zheng

This paper considers hidden Markov models where the observations are given as the sum of a latent state which lies in a general state space and some independent noise with unknown distribution. It is shown that these fully nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-30 Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff , Luc Lehéricy

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

State space models have long played an important role in signal processing. The Gaussian case can be treated algorithmically using the famous Kalman filter. Similarly since the 1970s there has been extensive application of Hidden Markov…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Peter Bickel , Yaacov Ritov , Tobias Rydén

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible tools for clustering dependent data coming from unknown populations, allowing nonparametric modelling of the population densities. Identifiability fails when the data is in fact independent and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-16 Kweku Abraham , Elisabeth Gassiat , Zacharie Naulet

In this paper, we consider the filtering and smoothing recursions in nonparametric finite state space hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the parameters of the model are unknown and replaced by estimators. We provide an explicit and time…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-24 Yohann De Castro , Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff

The Fisher Information matrix is a widely used measure for applications ranging from statistical inference, information geometry, experiment design, to the study of criticality in biological systems. Yet there is no commonly accepted…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-17 Omri Har Shemesh , Rick Quax , Borja Miñano , Alfons G. Hoekstra , Peter M. A. Sloot

The Fisher information matrix (FIM) plays an important role in the analysis of parameter inference and system design problems. In a number of cases, however, the statistical data distribution and its associated information matrix are either…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-24 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

This paper provides a systematic approach to semiparametric identification that is based on statistical information as a measure of its "quality". Identification can be regular or irregular, depending on whether the Fisher information for…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-01 Juan Carlos Escanciano

Motivated by the information bound for the asymptotic variance of M-estimates for scale, we define Fisher information of scale of any distribution function F on the real line as a suitable supremum. In addition, we enforce equivariance by a…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Peter Ruckdeschel , Helmut Rieder
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