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Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. We provide a central limit theorem for general additive…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-02 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

Given an irreducible discrete-time Markov chain on a finite state space, we consider the largest expected hitting time $T(\alpha)$ of a set of stationary measure at least $\alpha$ for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. We obtain tight inequalities among the…

The first paper in this series introduced a \emph{short-to-long mixing} condition that captures mean-field GOE/GUE edge universality in the supercritical sparsity regime, for symmetric/Hermitian random matrices with independent entries and…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-23 Dang-Zheng Liu , Guangyi Zou

Establishing central limit theorems (CLTs) for ergodic averages of Markov chains is a fundamental problem in probability and its applications. Since the seminal work~\cite{MR834478}, a vast literature has emerged on the sufficient…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-23 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović , Gareth Roberts

Using the recently discovered strong negative dependence properties of the symmetric exclusion process, we derive general conditions for when the normalized current of particles between regions converges to the Gaussian distribution. The…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-27 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes

In this paper we are concerned with hitting times of a family of density-dependent Markov chains. A moderate deviation principle of the hitting time is given. The proof of the main theorem relies heavily on moderate deviations of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-15 Yuheng He , Xiaofeng Xue

Consider the barycentric subdivision which cuts a given triangle along its medians to produce six new triangles. Uniformly choosing one of them and iterating this procedure gives rise to a Markov chain. We show that almost surely, the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-26 Persi Diaconis , Laurent Miclo

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

Let $(\xi_n)_{n=0}^\infty$ be a nonhomogeneous Markov chain taking values from finite state-space of $\mathbf{X}=\{1,2,\ldots,b\}$. In this paper, we will study the generalized entropy ergodic theorem with almost-everywhere and…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-19 Zhongzhi Wang , Weiguo Yang

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ and $Y_1,Y_2,\ldots$ be two random sequences so that every random variable takes values in a finite set $\mathbb{A}$. We consider a global similarity score $L_n:=L(X_1,\ldots,X_n;Y_1,\ldots,Y_n)$ that measures the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-19 Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger , Joonas Sova , Fabio Zucca

In this paper, we first introduce and define several new information divergences in the space of transition matrices of finite Markov chains which measure the discrepancy between two Markov chains. These divergences offer natural…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Youjia Wang , Michael C. H. Choi

The limiting probability distribution is one of the key characteristics of a Markov chain since it shows its long-term behavior. In this paper, for a higher order Markov chain, we establish some properties related to its exact limiting…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Lixing Han , Jianhong Xu

This paper contributes an in-depth study of properties of continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on non-negative integer lattices $\N_0^d$, with particular interest in one-dimensional CTMCs with polynomial transitions rates. Such stochastic…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-22 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

We establish existence of Markov chains of mean-field type with unbounded jump intensities by means of a fixed point argument using the Total Variation distance. We further show existence of nearly-optimal controls and, using a Markov chain…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-08-29 Salah Eddine Choutri , Boualem Djehiche , Hamidou Tembine