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In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We demonstrate how to calculate posteriors for general CRM-based priors and likelihoods for Bayesian nonparametric models. We further show how to represent Bayesian nonparametric priors as a sequence of finite draws using a size-biasing…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-25 Tamara Broderick , Ashia C. Wilson , Michael I. Jordan

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization, rather than using a single setting of weights. Bayesian marginalization can particularly improve the accuracy and calibration of modern deep neural networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Pavel Izmailov

We consider priors for several nonparametric Bayesian models which use finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Normalised generalised gamma processes are random probability measures that induce nonparametric prior distributions widely used in Bayesian statistics, particularly for mixture modelling. We construct a class of dependent normalised…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-07 Matteo Ruggiero , Matteo Sordello

The analytic inference, e.g. predictive distribution being in closed form, may be an appealing benefit for machine learning practitioners when they treat wide neural networks as Gaussian process in Bayesian setting. The realistic widths,…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2023-08-01 Chi-Ken Lu

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-22 Jingyu He , Nicholas Polson , Jianeng Xu

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Favaro, Lijoi, and Pruenster (2012, Biometrics, 68, 1188--1196) derive a novel Bayesian nonparametric estimator of the probability of detecting at the $(n+m+1)$th observation a species already observed with any given frequency in an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-04 Annalisa Cerquetti

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

The problem of estimating discovery probabilities originated in the context of statistical ecology, and in recent years it has become popular due to its frequent appearance in challenging applications arising in genetics, bioinformatics,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Stefano Favaro , Bernardo Nipoti , Yee Whye Teh

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

In this paper, we describe a Bayesian nonparametric approach to make inference for a bivariate spherically symmetric distribution. We consider a Dirichlet invariant process prior on the set of all bivariate spherically symmetric…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-02 Reyhaneh Hosseini , Mahmoud Zarepour

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

Mixture models are widely used in modeling heterogeneous data populations. A standard approach of mixture modeling assumes that the mixture component takes a parametric kernel form. In many applications, making parametric assumptions on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Yilei Zhang , Yun Wei , Aritra Guha , XuanLong Nguyen

The prior distribution on parameters of a sampling distribution is the usual starting point for Bayesian uncertainty quantification. In this paper, we present a different perspective which focuses on missing observations as the source of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Stephen G. Walker