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Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

This paper describes a Bayesian method for learning causal networks using samples that were selected in a non-random manner from a population of interest. Examples of data obtained by non-random sampling include convenience samples and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Gregory F. Cooper

Dirichlet process mixture models (DPMM) play a central role in Bayesian nonparametrics, with applications throughout statistics and machine learning. DPMMs are generally used in clustering problems where the number of clusters is not known…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Chiao-Yu Yang , Eric Xia , Nhat Ho , Michael I. Jordan

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-11 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

This paper proposes a new nonparametric Bayesian bootstrap for a mixture model, by developing the traditional Bayesian bootstrap. We first reinterpret the Bayesian bootstrap, which uses the P\'olya-urn scheme, as a gradient ascent algorithm…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker

Modern regression analyses are often undermined by covariate measurement error, misspecification of the regression model, and misspecification of the measurement error distribution. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Mengqi Chen , Charita Dellaporta , Thomas B. Berrett , Theodoros Damoulas

We propose a general Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference in the point treatment setting. The joint distribution of the observed data (outcome, treatment, and confounders) is modeled using an enriched Dirichlet process.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-01 Jason Roy , Kirsten J Lum , Michael J. Daniels , Bret Zeldow , Jordan Dworkin , Vincent Lo Re

There is a growing interest in the so-called Bayesian Predictive Inference approach, which allows to perform Bayesian inference without specifying the likelihood and prior of the model, or the need of any MCMC. Instead, only a sequence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Marco Battiston , Lorenzo Cappello

Empirical Bayes methods are widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the Poisson means problem. Existing results establish theoretical properties of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for optimal posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Taehyun Kim

This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

The implementation of Bayesian predictive procedures under standard normal models is considered. Two distributions are of particular interest, the K-prime and K-square distributions. They also give exact inferences for simple and multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Jacques Poitevineau , Bruno Lecoutre

Bayesian models based on the Dirichlet process and other stick-breaking priors have been proposed as core ingredients for clustering, topic modeling, and other unsupervised learning tasks. Prior specification is, however, relatively…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-27 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

A Bayesian nonparametric method for unimodal densities on the real line is provided by considering a class of species sampling mixture models containing random densities that are unimodal and not necessarily symmetric. This class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Man-Wai Ho

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Bayesian computational strategies for inference can be inefficient in approximating the posterior distribution in models that exhibit some form of periodicity. This is because the probability mass of the marginal posterior distribution of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Javier Lopez-Santiago , Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are routinely used for modeling relationships between a response variable and a set of covariates. The simple form of a GLM comes with easy interpretability, but also leads to concerns about model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Davide Agnoletto , Tommaso Rigon , David B. Dunson
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