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The standard approach to analyzing the asymptotic complexity of probabilistic programs is based on studying the asymptotic growth of certain expected values (such as the expected termination time) for increasing input size. We argue that…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Michal Ajdarów , Antonín Kučera

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

Confidence intervals and joint confidence sets are constructed for the nonparametric calibration of exponential L\'evy models based on prices of European options. To this end, we show joint asymptotic normality in the spectral calibration…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-26 Jakob Söhl

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

In this article, we are concerned with a multidimensional degenerate parabolic-hyperbolic equation driven by Levy processes. Using bounded variation (BV) estimates for vanishing viscosity approximations, we derive an explicit continuous…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2016-04-28 Ujjwal Koley , Ananta K. Majee , Guy Vallet

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) in inverse problems often have non-normal limit distributions, like Chernoff's distribution. However, if one considers smooth functionals of the model, with corresponding functionals of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-24 Piet Groeneboom

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Till Massing

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

The task of calibration is to retrospectively adjust the outputs from a machine learning model to provide better probability estimates on the target variable. While calibration has been investigated thoroughly in classification, it has not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Hao Song , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

Langevin models are frequently used to model various stochastic processes in different fields of natural and social sciences. They are adapted to measured data by estimation techniques such as maximum likelihood estimation, Markov chain…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-08-04 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps

This article is dedicated to the estimation of the regression function when the explanatory variable is a weakly dependent process whose correlation coefficient exhibits exponential decay and has a known bounded density function. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-17 Karine Bertin , Lisandro Fermin , Miguel Padrino

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

This paper gives a brief overview on the nonparametric techniques that are useful for financial econometric problems. The problems include estimation and inferences of instantaneous returns and volatility functions of time-homogeneous and…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-10 Jianqing Fan

We consider likelihood-based two-step estimation of latent variable models, in which just the measurement model is estimated in the first step and the measurement parameters are then fixed at their estimated values in the second step where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Jouni Kuha , Zsuzsa Bakk

L\'{e}vy processes with completely monotone jumps appear frequently in various applications of probability. For example, all popular stock price models based on L\'{e}vy processes (such as the Variance Gamma, CGMY/KoBoL and Normal Inverse…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-08 Daniel Hackmann , Alexey Kuznetsov

We consider discrete time models for asset prices with a stationary volatility process. We aim at estimating the multivariate density of this process at a set of consecutive time instants. A Fourier type deconvolution kernel density…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We study non-parametric estimation of an unknown density with support in R (respectively R+). The proposed estimation procedure is based on the projection on finite dimensional subspaces spanned by the Hermite (respectively the Laguerre)…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-30 Sergio Brenner Miguel , Jan Johannes

Pricing of high-dimensional options is one of the most important problems in Mathematical Finance. The objective of this manuscript is to present an original self-contained treatment of the multidimensional pricing. During the past decades…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2015-10-27 Alexander Kushpel

We analyze four different approaches to estimate a multivariate probability density (or the log-density) and its first and second order derivatives. Two methods, local log-likelihood and local Hyv\"arinen score estimation, are in terms of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-11 Christof Strähl , Johanna F. Ziegel , Lutz Duembgen
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