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We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

For many Markov chains of practical interest, the invariant distribution is extremely sensitive to perturbations of some entries of the transition matrix, but insensitive to others; we give an example of such a chain, motivated by a problem…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-10-12 Erik Thiede , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

We provide a general framework for computing upper bounds on mixing times of finite Markov chains when its minimal ideal is left zero. Our analysis is based on combining results by Brown and Diaconis with our previous work on stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-04 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

We prove a Chernoff-type bound for sums of matrix-valued random variables sampled via a regular (aperiodic and irreducible) finite Markov chain. Specially, consider a random walk on a regular Markov chain and a Hermitian matrix-valued…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Jiezhong Qiu , Chi Wang , Ben Liao , Richard Peng , Jie Tang

The effect of perturbations of parameters for uniquely convergent imprecise Markov chains is studied. We provide the maximal distance between the distributions of original and perturbed chain and maximal degree of imprecision, given the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a continuous-time Markov chain from noisy observations. We show that the corresponding optimal filter is strictly contracting pathwise, when considered in the Hilbert projective space, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Eliana Fausti

We derive a computable closed-form upper bound on the Hausdorff distance between a truncated minimal robust positively invariant (mRPI) set and its infinite-horizon limit. The bound depends only on a disturbance-set size measure and an…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Jiaxun Sun , Hengyu Xue , Yuyang Zhao

An a posteriori estimate for the error of a standard Krylov approximation to the matrix exponential is derived. The estimate is based on the defect (residual) of the Krylov approximation and is proven to constitute a rigorous upper bound on…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-03 Tobias Jawecki , Winfried Auzinger , Othmar Koch

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

We establish Chernoff-type bounds for the largest eigenvalue of sums of Hermitian random matrices generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain. Our primary regime assumes a compact state space and contractivity of each Markov kernel in…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Luca Zanetti

We derive explicit upper bounds for the $\bar{d}$-distance between a chain of infinite order and its canonical $k$-steps Markov approximation. Our proof is entirely constructive and involves a "coupling from the past" argument. The new…

概率论 · 数学 2012-01-16 Sandro Gallo , Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

We derive upper and lower bounds on the determinant of an exponential matrix. They can be transformed into corresponding bounds for the determinant of a univariate Gaussian matrix.

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-23 Michael S. Floater