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We prove a conjecture of Diaconis and Freedman (Ann. Probab. 1980) characterising the extreme points of the set of partially-exchangeable processes on a countable set. More concretely, we prove that the partially exchangeable sigma-algebra…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-31 Noah Halberstam , Tom Hutchcroft

We prove a computable version of de Finetti's theorem on exchangeable sequences of real random variables. As a consequence, exchangeable stochastic processes expressed in probabilistic functional programming languages can be automatically…

逻辑 · 数学 2012-02-03 Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

In this paper we study a general family of multivariable Gaussian stochastic processes. Each process is prescribed by a fixed Borel measure $\sigma$ on $\mathbb R^n$. The case when $\sigma$ is assumed absolutely continuous with respect to…

概率论 · 数学 2011-09-27 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen

Suppose we observe an infinite series of coin flips $X_1,X_2,\ldots$, and wish to sequentially test the null that these binary random variables are exchangeable. Nonnegative supermartingales (NSMs) are a workhorse of sequential inference,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-26 Aaditya Ramdas , Johannes Ruf , Martin Larsson , Wouter Koolen

Let G be a locally compact Hausdorff group in which every element is of finite order, and let P(G) denote the class of all regular probability measures on G. In this note, it is observed that a characterization of algebraically regular…

泛函分析 · 数学 2026-03-20 M N N Namboodiri

A length-$n$ random sequence $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ in a space $S$ is finitely exchangeable if its distribution is invariant under all $n!$ permutations of coordinates. Given $N > n$, we study the extendibility problem: when is it the case that…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-14 Takis Konstantopoulos , Linglong Yuan

This paper studies transition probabilities from a Borel subset of a Polish space to a product of two Borel subsets of Polish spaces. For such transition probabilities it introduces and studies the property of semi-uniform Feller…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

Ergodic Optimization is the process of finding invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. It has been conjectured that "most" functions are optimized by measures supported on a periodic orbit, and it has…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-03-17 Anthony Quas , Jason Siefken

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-04 Donato Michele Cifarelli , Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

There is only one fully supported ergodic invariant probability measure for the adic transformation on the space of infinite paths in the graph that underlies the Eulerian numbers. This result may partially justify a frequent assumption…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-08-10 Sarah Bailey Frick , Karl Petersen

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-18 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Longmin Wang

We construct an infinitely exchangeable process on the set $\cate$ of subsets of the power set of the natural numbers $\mathbb{N}$ via a Poisson point process with mean measure $\Lambda$ on the power set of $\mathbb{N}$. Each $E\in\cate$…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-25 Harry Crane

A bounded operator on a real or complex separable infinite-dimensional Banach space $Z$ is universal in the sense of Glasner and Weiss if for every invertible ergodic measure-preserving transformation $T$ of a standard Lebesgue probability…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-12-18 Sophie Grivaux

Ergodic optimization aims to single out dynamically invariant Borel probability measures which maximize the integral of a given "performance" function. For a continuous self-map of a compact metric space and a dense set of continuous…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-04-20 Mao Shinoda

Let C(K) be the Banach space of all continuous functions on a given compact space K. We investigate the w*-sequential closure in C(K)* of the set of all finitely supported probabilities on K. We discuss the coincidence of the Baire…

泛函分析 · 数学 2014-06-30 Antonio Avilés , Grzegorz Plebanek , José Rodríguez

A likelihood order is defined over linear subspaces of a finite dimensional Hilbert space. It is shown that such an order that satisfies some plausible axioms can be represented by a quantum probability in two cases: pure state and uniform…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 E. Lehrer , E. Shmaya

For appropriate Gaussian processes, as a corollary of the majorizing measure theorem, Michel Talagrand (1987) proved that the event that the supremum is significantly larger than its expectation can be covered by a set of half-spaces whose…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-23 Jinyoung Park , Huy Tuan Pham

We introduce and investigate a notion of multivalued $\lambda$-dissipative probability vector field (MPVF) in the Wasserstein space $\mathcal{P}_2(\mathsf X)$ of Borel probability measures on a Hilbert space $\mathsf X$. Taking inspiration…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-16 Giulia Cavagnari , Giuseppe Savaré , Giacomo Enrico Sodini