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Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

An open source software package for simulating thermal neutron propagation in geometry is presented. In this system, neutron propagation can be treated by either the particle transport method or the ray-tracing method. Supported by an…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Zi-Yi Pan , Ni Yang , Ming Tang , Peixun Shen , Xiao-Xiao Cai

We study non-interacting Poissonian run-and-tumble particles (RTPs) in two dimensions whose velocity orientations are controlled by an arbitrary circular distribution $Q(\phi)$. RTP-type active transport has been reported to undergo…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-08-02 Yurim Jung

A Bayesian approach to quantum process tomography has yet to be fully developed due to the lack of appropriate probability distributions on the space of quantum channels. Here, by associating the Choi matrix form of a completely positive,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-12-18 Kevin Schultz

Neural Processes (NPs) are a rapidly evolving class of models designed to directly model the posterior predictive distribution of stochastic processes. Originally developed as a scalable alternative to Gaussian Processes (GPs), which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Daniel Jenson , Jhonathan Navott , Mengyan Zhang , Makkunda Sharma , Elizaveta Semenova , Seth Flaxman

We analyze generalized space-time fractional motions on undirected networks and lattices. The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) approach of Montroll and Weiss is employed to subordinate a space fractional walk to a generalization of the…

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

Neural Processes (NPs) are deep probabilistic models that represent stochastic processes by conditioning their prior distributions on a set of context points. Despite their advantages in uncertainty estimation for complex distributions, NPs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Xuesong Wang , He Zhao , Edwin V. Bonilla

We develop a non-negative polynomial minimum-norm likelihood ratio (PLR) of two distributions of which only moments are known. The sample PLR converges to the unknown population PLR under mild conditions. The methodology allows for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-06 Caio Almeida , Ricardo Masini , Paul Schneider

A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Guoqiang Zhang , Jing-Hao Xue , Jen-Tzung Chien , Zhiqing Lin , Jun Guo

This paper establishes quantitative limit theorems for two classes of Cox point processes, quantifying their convergence to a Poisson point process (PPP). We employ Stein's method for PPP aproximation, leveraging the generator approach and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-07 Hamza Adrat , Laurent Decreusefond

We introduce the concept of Random Sequential Renormalization (RSR) for arbitrary networks. RSR is a graph renormalization procedure that locally aggregates nodes to produce a coarse grained network. It is analogous to the (quasi-)parallel…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-03-24 Golnoosh Bizhani , Vishal Sood , Maya Paczuski , Peter Grassberger

Gaussian Process Networks (GPNs) are a class of directed graphical models which employ Gaussian processes as priors for the conditional expectation of each variable given its parents in the network. The model allows the description of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

The two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet diffusion, introduced in 2009 by Petrov, extends the infinitely-many-neutral-alleles diffusion model, related to Kingman's one-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet distribution and to certain Fleming--Viot…

Variable selection methods are required in practical statistical modeling, to identify and include only the most relevant predictors, and then improving model interpretability. Such variable selection methods are typically employed in…

This article discusses the usage of a partiton based Fubini calculus for Poisson processes. The approach is an amplification of Bayesian techniques developed in Lo and Weng for gamma/Dirichlet processes. Applications to models are…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Lancelot F. James

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

It is well known that stochastically modeled reaction networks that are complex balanced admit a stationary distribution that is a product of Poisson distributions. In this paper, we consider the following related question: supposing that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-11-19 David F. Anderson , David Schnoerr , Chaojie Yuan