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We discuss a new method for setting limits on small signals in the presence of background noise. The method is based on a combination of a two dimensional confidence region and the large sample approximation to the likelihood ratio test…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez

Tuning parameters in supervised learning problems are often estimated by cross-validation. The minimum value of the cross-validation error can be biased downward as an estimate of the test error at that same value of the tuning parameter.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-21 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Robert Tibshirani

The theory behind compressive sampling pre-supposes that a given sequence of observations may be exactly represented by a linear combination of a small number of basis vectors. In practice, however, even small deviations from an exact…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-06-30 Jonathan M. Nichols , Albert K. Oh , Rebecca M. Willett

We investigate minimax testing for detecting local signals or linear combinations of such signals when only indirect data is available. Naturally, in the presence of noise, signals that are too small cannot be reliably detected. In a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-21 Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner , Axel Munk

We study one-way matching of a pair of datasets with low rank signals. Under a stylized model, we first derive information-theoretic limits of matching under a mismatch proportion loss. We then show that linear assignment with projected…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-04 Shuxiao Chen , Sizun Jiang , Zongming Ma , Garry P. Nolan , Bokai Zhu

Designs which are minimax in the presence of model misspecifications have been constructed so as to minimize the maximum, over classes of alternate response models, of the integrated mean squared error of the predicted values. This mean…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Douglas P. Wiens

Compressed sensing is a technique for recovering an unknown sparse signal from a small number of linear measurements. When the measurement matrix is random, the number of measurements required for perfect recovery exhibits a phase…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-12-30 Mateo Díaz , Mauricio Junca , Felipe Rincón , Mauricio Velasco

Weak signal identification and inference are very important in the area of penalized model selection, yet they are under-developed and not well-studied. Existing inference procedures for penalized estimators are mainly focused on strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-16 Peibei Shi , Annie Qu

Post-selection strategies have been proposed with the aim of amplifying weak signals, which may help to overcome detection thresholds associated with technical noise in high-precision measurements. Here we use an optical setup to…

Linear least squares regression is subject to bias due to an omitted variable, a mismeasured regressor, or simultaneity. A simple test to detect the bias is proposed and explored in simulation and in real data sets.

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-25 Eric Blankmeyer

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff. A researcher seeking to estimate a scalar parameter can invoke strong assumptions to motivate a restricted estimator that is precise but may be heavily biased, or they…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-17 Timothy B. Armstrong , Patrick Kline , Liyang Sun

We consider the issue of performing accurate small-sample testing inference in beta regression models, which are useful for modeling continuous variates that assume values in $(0,1)$, such as rates and proportions. We derive the Bartlett…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-30 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

While a broad range of techniques have been proposed to tackle distribution shift, the simple baseline of training on an $\textit{undersampled}$ balanced dataset often achieves close to state-of-the-art-accuracy across several popular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Niladri S. Chatterji , Saminul Haque , Tatsunori Hashimoto

In the problem of model selection for a given family of linear estimators, ordered by their variance, we offer a new "smallest accepted" approach motivated by Lepski's method and multiple testing theory. The procedure selects the smallest…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-20 Vladimir Spokoiny , Niklas Willrich

In this paper, we study a new notion of scaled minimaxity for sparse estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. We present more optimistic lower bounds than the one given by the classical minimax theory and hence improve on…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-15 Mohamed Ndaoud

A multiplier bootstrap procedure for construction of likelihood-based confidence sets is considered for finite samples and a possible model misspecification. Theoretical results justify the bootstrap validity for a small or moderate sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Vladimir Spokoiny , Mayya Zhilova

Several strategies for nonlinearity mitigation based on signal processing at the transmitter and/or receiver side are analyzed and their effectiveness is discussed. Improved capacity lower bounds based on their combination are presented.

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-07-15 Marco Secondini , Stella Civelli , Enrico Forestieri

If the conclusion of a data analysis is sensitive to dropping very few data points, that conclusion might hinge on the particular data at hand rather than representing a more broadly applicable truth. How could we check whether this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Tin D. Nguyen , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager , Tamara Broderick

Significant attention has been given to minimizing a penalized least squares criterion for estimating sparse solutions to large linear systems of equations. The penalty is responsible for inducing sparsity and the natural choice is the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Goran Marjanovic , Magnus O. Ulfarsson , Alfred O. Hero

With a Bayesian approach, the linear optics correction algorithm for storage rings is revisited. Starting from the Bayes' theorem, a complete linear optics model is simplified as "likelihood functions" and "prior probability distributions".…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2019-04-18 Yongjun Li , Robert Rainer , Weixing Cheng
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