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Independent vector analysis (IVA) is an attractive solution to address the problem of joint blind source separation (JBSS), that is, the simultaneous extraction of latent sources from several datasets implicitly sharing some information.…

We present a minimal agent-based model of interacting agents characterized by their wealth to study taxation and inequality in a non-conservative economy. Wealth evolves through an extremal stochastic replacement process in which the…

\ac{CoT} prompting improves LLM accuracy on complex tasks but often increases token usage and inference cost. Existing ``Budget Forcing'' methods reduce cost via fine-tuning with heuristic length penalties, suppressing both essential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Fabio Valerio Massoli , Andrey Kuzmin , Arash Behboodi

A sequence of recent studies show that even in the simple setting of a single seller and a single buyer with additive, independent valuations over $m$ items, the revenue-maximizing mechanism is prohibitively complex. This problem has been…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-01-10 Michal Feldman , Ophir Friedler , Aviad Rubinstein

We consider controlling the paths of a spectrally negative L\'evy process by two means: the subtraction of `taxes' when the process is at an all-time maximum, and the addition of `bailouts' which keep the value of the process above zero. We…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Dalal Al Ghanim , Ronnie Loeffen , Alexander R. Watson

This study examines issues of algorithmic fairness in the context of systems that inform tax audit selection by the United States Internal Revenue Service (IRS). While the field of algorithmic fairness has developed primarily around notions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Emily Black , Hadi Elzayn , Alexandra Chouldechova , Jacob Goldin , Daniel E. Ho

We generalize the classic Shiller cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (CAPE) used for prediction of future total returns of the stock market. We treat earnings growth as exogenous. The difference between log wealth and log earnings is…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-13 Andrey Sarantsev

Our computational economic analysis investigates the relationship between inequality, mobility and the financial accumulation process. Extending the baseline model by Levy et al., we characterise the economic process through stylised return…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-20 Simone Righi , Yuri Biondi

This paper introduces a set of formally defined and transparent problems for reinforcement learning algorithms with the following characteristics: (1) variable degrees of observability (non-Markov observations), (2) distal and sparse…

This paper introduces a semi-analytical method for pricing American options on assets (stocks, ETFs) that pay discrete and/or continuous dividends. The problem is notoriously complex because discrete dividends create abrupt price drops and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2026-01-06 Andrey Itkin

We decompose returns for portfolios of bottom-ranked, lower-priced assets relative to the market into rank crossovers and changes in the relative price of those bottom-ranked assets. This decomposition is general and consistent with…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-12-17 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) is known to model human decisions well, with substantial empirical evidence supporting this claim. CPT works by distorting probabilities and is more general than the classic expected utility and coherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-01 Prashanth L. A. , Cheng Jie , Michael Fu , Steve Marcus , Csaba Szepesvári

The only input to attain the portfolio weights of global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) is the covariance matrix of returns of assets being considered for investment. Since the population covariance matrix is not known, investors use…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-04-20 Jinwoo Park

We propose a unifying framework for the pricing of debt securities under general time-inhomogeneous short-rate diffusion processes. The pricing of bonds, bond options, callable/putable bonds, and convertible bonds (CBs) is covered. Using…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-01-22 Marie-Claude Vachon , Anne Mackay

A common assumption of political economy is that profit rates across firms or sectors tend to uniformity, and often models are formulated in which this tendency is assumed to have been realised. But in reality this tendency is never…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2011-03-24 Ian Wright

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

Valuing corporate bonds in systemic economies is challenging due to intricate webs of inter-institutional exposures. When a bank defaults, cascading losses propagate through the network, with payments determined by a system of fixed-point…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-16 Dohyun Ahn , Agostino Capponi

The core principle of Variational Inference (VI) is to convert the statistical inference problem of computing complex posterior probability densities into a tractable optimization problem. This property enables VI to be faster than several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-25 Ankush Ganguly , Sanjana Jain , Ukrit Watchareeruetai

We propose a general framework for the simultaneous modeling of equity, government bonds, corporate bonds and derivatives. Uncertainty is generated by a general affine Markov process. The setting allows for stochastic volatility, jumps, the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-07-07 Patrick Cheridito , Alexander Wugalter

Risk-averse investors often wish to exclude stocks from their portfolios that bear high credit risk, which is a measure of a firm's likelihood of bankruptcy. This risk is commonly estimated by constructing signals from quarterly accounting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-06 Maksim Papenkov , Beau Robinette
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