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We discuss several algorithms for sampling from unnormalized probability distributions in statistical physics, but using the language of statistics and machine learning. We provide a self-contained introduction to some key ideas and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Michael F. Faulkner , Samuel Livingstone

We propose a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method in which trial configurations are generated by evolving a state, sampled from a prior distribution, using a Markov transition matrix. We present two prototypical algorithms and derive their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-01-09 Joel Mabillard , Isha Malhotra , Bortolo Matteo Mognetti

We investigate how ideas from covariance localization in numerical weather prediction can be used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of high-dimensional posterior distributions arising in Bayesian inverse problems. To localize an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-09 Matthias Morzfeld , Xin T. Tong , Youssef M. Marzouk

This paper develops a Bayesian computational platform at the interface between posterior sampling and optimization in models whose marginal likelihoods are difficult to evaluate. Inspired by adversarial optimization, namely Generative…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Rockova

This paper is devoted to the problem of sampling Gaussian fields in high dimension. Solutions exist for two specific structures of inverse covariance : sparse and circulant. The proposed approach is valid in a more general case and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-05-31 F. Orieux , O. Féron , J. -F. Giovannelli

In this paper, we suggest a novel sampling method for Monte Carlo molecular simulations. In order to perform efficient sampling of molecular systems, it is advantageous to avoid extremely high energy configurations while also retaining the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-07-18 Katsuhiro Endo , Daisuke Yuhara , Kenji Yasuoka

We consider population dynamics as implemented by the cloning algorithm for analysis of large deviations of time-averaged quantities. Using the simple symmetric exclusion process as a prototypical example, we investigate the convergence of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-05-11 Tobias Brewer , Stephen R. Clark , Russell Bradford , Robert L. Jack

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Motivated by A/B/n testing applications, we consider a finite set of distributions (called \emph{arms}), one of which is treated as a \emph{control}. We assume that the population is stratified into homogeneous subpopulations. At every time…

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Gibbs sampling is one of the most commonly used Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms due to its simplicity and efficiency. It cycles through the latent variables, sampling each one from its distribution conditional on the current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Yanbo Wang , Wenyu Chen , Shimin Shan

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

An introduction to numerical large-deviation sampling is provided. First, direct biasing with a known distribution is explained. As simple example, the Bernoulli experiment is used throughout the text. Next, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-10-01 Alexander K. Hartmann

Optimal control synthesis in stochastic systems with respect to quantitative temporal logic constraints can be formulated as linear programming problems. However, centralized synthesis algorithms do not scale to many practical systems. To…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-26 Jie Fu , Shuo Han , Ufuk Topcu

Slice sampling is a well-established Markov chain Monte Carlo method for (approximate) sampling of target distributions which are only known up to a normalizing constant. The method is based on choosing a new state on a slice, i.e., a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Kevin Bitterlich , Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

In particle-in-cell simulations and some other statistical computations, the representation of modelled distributions with tracked macro-particles can become locally excessive. Merging or resampling dense clusters or highly-populated phase…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-12-21 Arkady Gonoskov

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Non-Gaussian distributions in cosmology are commonly evaluated with Monte Carlo Markov-chain methods, as the Fisher-matrix formalism is restricted to the Gaussian case. The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm will provide samples from the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-15 Lennart Röver , Heinrich von Campe , Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Björn Malte Schäfer

An unsupervised classification method for point events occurring on a network of lines is proposed. The idea relies on the distributional flexibility and practicality of random partition models to discover the clustering structure featuring…

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet