相关论文: Modelling High-frequency Economic Time Series

Using a probabilistic neural network and Lagrangian observations from the Global Drifter Program, we model the single particle transition probability density function (pdf) of ocean surface drifters. The transition pdf is represented by a…

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Parallel replica dynamics is a method for accelerating the computation of processes characterized by a sequence of infrequent events. In this work, the processes are governed by the overdamped Langevin equation. Such processes spend much of…

We address the now classical problem of a diffusion process that crosses over from a ballistic behavior at short times to a fractional diffusion (sub- or super-diffusion) at longer times. Using the standard non-Markovian diffusion equation…

We have discussed dynamical properties of the Tsallis entropy and the generalized Fisher information in nonextensive systems described by the Langevin model subjected to additive and multiplicative noise. Analytical expressions for the…

The time development of the price of a financial asset is considered by constructing and solving Langevin equations for a homogeneously saturated model, and for comparison, for a standard model and for a logistic model. The homogeneously…

An analytical expression of probability density function (PDF) of velocity fluctuation is derived with the help of the statistics based on generalized entropy (the Tsallis entropy or the R\'{e}nyi entropy). It is revealed that the derived…

In this paper, we study the statistical evolution of the large-scale structure (LSS), focusing on the joint probability distribution function (PDF) of the coarse-grained cosmic field and its role in constructing effective dynamics. As the…

An analytical formula for the probability distribution of stock-market returns, derived from the Heston model assuming a mean-reverting stochastic volatility, was recently proposed by Dragulescu and Yakovenko in Quantitative Finance 2002.…

The purpose of this paper is to examine the Lagrangian stochastic modeling of the fluid velocity seen by inertial particles in a nonhomogeneous turbulent flow. A new Langevin-type model, compatible with the transport equation of the drift…

In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the L\'evy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into…

We present a simple derivation of the stochastic equation obeyed by the density function for a system of Langevin processes interacting via a pairwise potential. The resulting equation is considerably different from the phenomenological…

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

We consider stochastic systems involving general -- non-Gaussian and asymmetric -- stable processes. The random quantities, either a stochastic force or a waiting time in a random walk process, explicitly depend on the position. A…

We propose a variational superposed Gaussian approximation (VSGA) for dynamical solutions of Langevin equations subject to applied signals, determining time-dependent parameters of superposed Gaussian distributions by the variational…

The measured time series from complex systems are renowned for their intricate stochastic behavior, characterized by random fluctuations stemming from external influences and nonlinear interactions. These fluctuations take diverse forms,…

We present a systematic algorithm testing for the existence of collective self-organization in the behavior of agents in social systems, with a concrete empirical implementation on the Dow Jones Industrial Average index (DJIA) over the 20th…

We investigate how price variations of a stock are transformed into profits and losses (P&Ls) of a trend following strategy. In the frame of a Gaussian model, we derive the probability distribution of P&Ls and analyze its moments (mean,…

In this paper, we study the problem of sampling from distributions of the form p(x) \propto e^{-\beta f(x)} for some function f whose values and gradients we can query. This mode of access to f is natural in the scenarios in which such…

The ongoing rapid urbanization phenomena make the understanding of the evolution of urban environments of utmost importance to improve the well-being and steer societies towards better futures. Many studies have focused on the emerging…