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The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

Hypothesis testing via e-variables can be framed as a sequential betting game, where a player each round picks an e-variable. A good player's strategy results in an effective statistical test that rejects the null hypothesis as soon as…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-30 Eugenio Clerico

E-values have recently emerged as a robust and flexible alternative to p-values for hypothesis testing, especially under optional continuation, i.e., when additional data from further experiments are collected. In this work, we define…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Francesca Giuffrida , Diego Garlaschelli , Peter Grünwald

Adaptive approaches, allowing for more flexible trial design, have been proposed for individually randomized trials to save time or reduce sample size. However, adaptive designs for cluster-randomized trials in which groups of participants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-10 Junwei Shen , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , David Benrimoh

Adaptive designs for clinical trials permit alterations to a study in response to accumulating data in order to make trials more flexible, ethical and efficient. These benefits are achieved while preserving the integrity and validity of the…

A standard practice in statistical hypothesis testing is to mention the p-value alongside the accept/reject decision. We show the advantages of mentioning an e-value instead. With p-values, it is not clear how to use an extreme observation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Peter Grünwald

Precision medicine stands as a transformative approach in healthcare, offering tailored treatments that can enhance patient outcomes and reduce healthcare costs. As understanding of complex disease improves, clinical trials are being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-15 Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , Marie Hudson

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

Adaptive designs are increasingly used in clinical trials and online experiments to improve participant outcomes by dynamically updating treatment allocation as data accumulate. In practice, experimenters often consider multiple candidate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-08 Wenxin Zhang , Aaron Hudson , Maya Petersen , Mark van der Laan

Background: The E-value has become widely used for assessing robustness to unmeasured confounding in observational studies, but the original framework was developed for single time-point exposure-outcome settings. This study extends the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Md. Niamul Islam Sium

Targeted therapies on the basis of genomic aberrations analysis of the tumor have shown promising results in cancer prognosis and treatment. Regardless of tumor type, trials that match patients to targeted therapies for their particular…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-18 Yanxun Xu , Peter Mueller , Apostolia M Tsimberidou , Donald Berry

We derive the unique e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, hereby contributing with the first application beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-19 Sebastian Arnold , Eugenio Clerico

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Adaptive experiments are used extensively in online platforms, healthcare and biotechnology, and a variety of other settings. In many of these applications, the main goal is not to precisely estimate a treatment effect, but to demonstrate…

Adaptive experimental designs have gained popularity in clinical trials and online experiments. Unlike traditional, fixed experimental designs, adaptive designs can dynamically adjust treatment randomization probabilities and other design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Wenxin Zhang , Mark van der Laan

When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

An early phase clinical trial is the first step in evaluating the effects in humans of a potential new anti-disease agent or combination of agents. Usually called "phase I" or "phase I/II" trials, these experiments typically have the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-12-01 Peter F. Thall

In oncology, phase II studies are crucial for clinical development plans as such studies identify potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development in the subsequent phase III trials. Traditionally, phase II studies are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota