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This paper develops a new framework to analyze the incidence of labor market shocks, focusing on automation and artificial intelligence. Central to our theory is the distance-dependent elasticity of substitution (DIDES), where worker…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-04 Tianyu Fan

This paper extends the Acemoglu-Restrepo task exposure framework to address the labor market effects of agentic artificial intelligence systems: autonomous AI agents capable of completing entire occupational workflows rather than discrete…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-02 Ravish Gupta , Saket Kumar

We analyze how output and wages behave under different scenarios for technological progress that may culminate in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), defined as the ability of AI systems to perform all tasks that humans can perform. We…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-20 Anton Korinek , Donghyun Suh

As artificial intelligence and robotics increasingly reshape the global labor market, understanding public perceptions of these technologies becomes critical. We examine how these perceptions have evolved across Latin America, using survey…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Andrea Cremaschi , Dae-Jin Lee , Manuele Leonelli

Generative AI is altering work processes, task composition, and organizational design, yet its effects on employment and the macroeconomy remain unresolved. In this review, we synthesize theory and empirical evidence at three levels. First,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , Ekkehard Ernst , Rossana Merola , Daniel Samaan , Ole Teutloff

Is artificial intelligence (AI) disrupting jobs and creating unemployment? Despite many attempts to quantify occupations' exposure to AI, inconsistent validation obfuscates the relative benefits of each approach. A lack of disaggregated…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Morgan Frank , Yong-Yeol Ahn , Esteban Moro

This article develops the concept of the agentic economy and diagnoses its measurable preconditions: a transition in which economic action is increasingly distributed among humans, AI agents, industrial robots, executable protocols, compute…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-20 Davit Gondauri , Mikheil Batiashvili

Using the new data from the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities we construct the Google matrix $G$ of this directed network and perform its detailed analysis. The network contains 58 countries and 37 activity sectors for years…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-07-21 V. Kandiah , H. Escaith , D. L. Shepelyansky

Automation raises productivity and reduces paid human labor, but it also reallocates income and ownership claims. This paper studies that tradeoff in a static benchmark and in a stationary heterogeneous-agent general equilibrium. Firms…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-07 Erhan Bayraktar

The Fourth Industrial Revolution commonly refers to the accelerating technological transformation that has been taking place in the 21st century. Economic growth theories which treat the accumulation of knowledge and its effect on…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-23 Georgios A. Tritsaris

Generative artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to transform work, but less is known about how firms reorganize labor demand as the technology diffuses. Existing research has largely focused on which occupations are exposed to AI or…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-25 Fangyan Wang , Zaiyan Wei , Yang Wang

A central socioeconomic concern about Artificial Intelligence is that it will lower wages by depressing the labor share - the fraction of economic output paid to labor. We show that declining labor share is more likely to raise wages. In a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 David Autor , B. N. Kausik

This paper explores how artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics are transforming the global labor market. Human workers, limited to a 33% duty cycle due to rest and holidays, cost $14 to $55 per hour. In contrast, digital labor operates…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-04-15 Kevin J McNamara , Rhea Pritham Marpu

The uniqueness of human labour is at question in times of smart technologies. The 250 years-old discussion on technological unemployment reawakens. Prominently, Frey and Osborne (2017) estimated that half of US employment will be automated…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-29 Fabian Stephany , Hanno Lorenz

Rapid advances in AI have incited extensive inquiry into its effects on productivity and labor, potentially profound in both positive and negative ways. Often neglected, however, is comprehension of how AI technologies diffuse across and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-17 Rafael Andersson Lipcsey

This study investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption on job loss rates using the Global AI Content Impact Dataset (2020--2025). The panel comprises 200 industry-country-year observations across Australia, China,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 Yunqi Liu

Generative AI compresses within-task skill differences while shifting economic value toward concentrated complementary assets, creating an apparent paradox: the technology that equalizes individual performance may widen aggregate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Xupeng Chen , Shuchen Meng

This chapter critiques the dominant reductionist approach in AI and work studies, which isolates tasks and skills as replaceable components. Instead, it advocates for a systemic perspective that emphasizes the interdependence of tasks,…

Measuring global AI diffusion remains challenging due to a lack of population-normalized, cross-country usage data. We introduce AI User Share, a novel indicator that estimates the share of each country's working-age population actively…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Amit Misra , Jane Wang , Scott McCullers , Kevin White , Juan Lavista Ferres