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This paper deals with a nonlinear filtering problem in which a multi-dimensional signal process is additively affected by a process $\nu$ whose components have paths of bounded variation. The presence of the process $\nu$ prevents from…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-02 Alessandro Calvia , Giorgio Ferrari

This paper is concerned with the nonlinear filtering problem for a general Markovian partially observed system (X,Y), whose dynamics is modeled by correlated jump-diffusions having common jump times. At any time t, the sigma-algebra…

概率论 · 数学 2013-01-21 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We consider two nonlinear state estimation problems in a setting where an extended Kalman filter receives measurements from two sets of sensors via two channels (2C). In the stochastic-2C problem, the channels drop measurements…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-20 Vicu-Mihalis Maer , Zsofia Lendek , Stefan Pirje , Domagoj Tolic , Antun Djuras , Vicko Prkacin , Ivana Palunko , Lucian Busoniu

We study a linear filtering problem where the signal and observation processes are described as solutions of linear stochastic differential equations driven by time-space Brownian sheets. We derive a stochastic integral equation for the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-10 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal , Frank Proske , Olena Tymoshenko

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns from high frequency data is complicated by asynchronous returns, market mi- crostructure noise and jumps. One technique for addressing both asynchronous returns and market microstructure…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-19 Michael Ho , Jack Xin

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Jakob Heiss , Florian Krach , Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

This work highlights the duality between state estimation methods and model predictive control. A predictive controller, observed control, is presented that uses this duality to efficiently compute control actions with linear time-horizon…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-20 Eugene T. Hamzezadeh , Andrew J. Petruska

In this paper, we consider an anticipative nonlinear filtering problem, in which the observation noise is correlated with the past of the signal. This new signal-observation model has its applications in both finance models with insider…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-22 Guang Lin , Yanghui Liu , Samy Tindel

In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-02 Jean-François Bégin , Mathieu Boudreault

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-05 Michael Busch , Jeff Moehlis

In this paper, we introduce a new jump process modeling which involves a particular kind of non-Gaussian stochastic processes with random jumps at random time points. The main goal of this study is to provide an accurate tracking technique…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-13 Seyyed Hamed Fouladi , Ehsan Hajiramezanali

Combinations of neural ODEs with recurrent neural networks (RNN), like GRU-ODE-Bayes or ODE-RNN are well suited to model irregularly observed time series. While those models outperform existing discrete-time approaches, no theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

In this paper, we consider a stochastic asset price model where the trend is an unobservable Ornstein Uhlenbeck process. We first review some classical results from Kalman filtering. Expectedly, the choice of the parameters is crucial to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-21 Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed , Grégoire Loeper , Frédéric Abergel

This paper examines learning the optimal filtering policy, known as the Kalman gain, for a linear system with unknown noise covariance matrices using noisy output data. The learning problem is formulated as a stochastic policy optimization…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-27 Shahriar Talebi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Mehran Mesbahi

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä
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