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We consider multi-armed bandit problems in social groups wherein each individual has bounded memory and shares the common goal of learning the best arm/option. We say an individual learns the best option if eventually (as $t \to \infty$) it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Lili Su , Martin Zubeldia , Nancy Lynch

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

It is impossible today to pretend that the practice of machine learning is always compatible with the idea that training and testing data follow the same distribution. Several authors have recently used ensemble techniques to show how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Jianyu Zhang , Léon Bottou

We consider the evolution of large but finite populations on arbitrary fitness landscapes. We describe the evolutionary process by a Markov, Moran process. We show that to $\mathcal O(1/N)$, the time-averaged fitness is lower for the finite…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-04 Dirk M. Lorenz , Jeong-Man Park , Michael W. Deem

We present a novel approach allowing the study of rare events like fixation under fluctuating environments, modeled as extrinsic noise, in evolutionary processes characterized by the dominance of one species. Our treatment consists of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-12-16 Michael Assaf , Mauro Mobilia , Elijah Roberts

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

We investigate the large population dynamics of a family of stochastic particle systems with three-state cyclic individual behaviour and parameter-dependent transition rates. On short time scales, the dynamics turns out to be approximated…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-10 Julien Barré , Bastien Fernandez , Grégoire Panel

In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

We derive various exact results for Markovian systems that spontaneously relax to a non-equilibrium steady-state by using joint probability distributions symmetries of different entropy production decompositions. The analytical approach is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-02-10 Reinaldo García-García , Vivien Lecomte , A. B. Kolton , D. Domínguez

Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

Evolutionary game theory has proved to be a powerful tool to probe the self-organisation of collective behaviour by considering frequency-dependent fitness in evolutionary processes. It has shown that the stability of a strategy depends not…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-11 Diogo L. Pires , Mark Broom

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass

Individual cooperative strategy influences the surrounding dynamic population, which in turn affects cooperative strategy. To better model this phenomenon, we develop a Markov decision chain based game transitions model and examine the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Chaoyang Luo , Yuji Zhang , Minyu Feng , Attila Szolnoki

Decisions to pursue higher education are not fully explained by economic incentives, with social influence and peer effects playing a crucial, yet dynamically understudied, role. This paper develops a theoretical non-linear dynamics model…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-06 Andrea Caravaggio , Marco Catola , Silvia Leoni

The fluctuation theorem for entropy production is a remarkable symmetry of the distribution of produced entropy that holds universally in non-equilibrium steady states with Markovian dynamics. However, in systems with slow degrees of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-02-21 Matthias Uhl , Patrick Pietzonka , Udo Seifert

Mechanisms leading to speciation are a major focus in evolutionary biology. In this paper, we present and study a stochastic model of population where individuals, with type a or A, are equivalent from ecological, demographical and spatial…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-04-20 Camille Coron , Manon Costa , Hélène Leman , Charline Smadi

Discrete time, spatially extended models play an important role in ecology, modelling population dynamics of species ranging from micro-organisms to birds. An important question is how 'bottom up', individual-based models can be…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-20 Linnéa Gyllingberg , David J. T. Sumpter , Åke Brännström

Populations of replicating entities frequently experience sudden or cyclical changes in environment. We explore the implications of this phenomenon via a environmental switching parameter in several common evolutionary dynamics models…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-06-12 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer , Andrew Vlasic

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang