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相关论文: Intrinsic effective sample size for manifold-value…

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This paper explores the application of methods from information geometry to the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler. In particular the Riemannian manifold Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (mMALA) is adapted for the transition kernels…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-05 Aaron Sim , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias , Angelos Alexopoulos , Siran Liu , Petros Dellaportas

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

We consider the task of MCMC sampling from a distribution defined on a discrete space. Building on recent insights provided in [Zan19], we devise a class of efficient continuous-time, non-reversible algorithms which make active use of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Samuel Power , Jacob Vorstrup Goldman

It is often necessary to make sampling-based statistical inference about many probability distributions in parallel. Given a finite computational resource, this article addresses how to optimally divide sampling effort between the samplers…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-18 Nicholas Heard , Melissa Turcotte

This paper presents a new perspective on the identification at infinity for the intercept of the sample selection model as identification at the boundary via a transformation of the selection index. This perspective suggests generalizations…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-13 Zhewen Pan

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are frequently used to perform inference under a Bayesian modeling framework. Convergence diagnostics, such as traceplots, the Gelman-Rubin potential scale reduction factor, and effective sample…

We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-07 Lixiong Li , Marc Henry

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides a feasible method for inferring Hidden Markov models, however, it is often computationally prohibitive, especially constrained by the curse of dimensionality, as the Monte Carlo sampler traverses…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

Calculating a Monte Carlo standard error (MCSE) is an important step in the statistical analysis of the simulation output obtained from a Markov chain Monte Carlo experiment. An MCSE is usually based on an estimate of the variance of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-25 James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

We prove explicit, i.e., non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis algorithm. The problem is to compute the expectation (or integral) of f with respect to a measure which can be given by a…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-01-18 Daniel Rudolf

Bayesian analysis often concerns an evaluation of models with different dimensionality as is necessary in, for example, model selection or mixture models. To facilitate this evaluation, transdimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-13 Daniel W. Heck , Antony M. Overstall , Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Group-invariant probability distributions appear in many data-generative models in machine learning, such as graphs, point clouds, and images. In practice, one often needs to estimate divergences between such distributions. In this work, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka

We consider the variable selection problem for two-sample tests, aiming to select the most informative variables to determine whether two collections of samples follow the same distribution. To address this, we propose a novel framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-23 Jie Wang , Santanu S. Dey , Yao Xie

Many scientific and engineering problems require to perform Bayesian inferences in function spaces, in which the unknowns are of infinite dimension. In such problems, many standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms become arbitrary…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-04-12 Zhe Feng , Jinglai Li

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

This paper investigates the robustness and optimality of the multi-kernel correntropy (MKC) on linear regression. We first derive an upper error bound for a scalar regression problem in the presence of arbitrarily large outliers and reveal…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-12 Shilei Li , Yunjiang Lou , Dawei Shi , Lijing Li , Ling Shi