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The basic question in perturbation analysis of Markov chains is: how do small changes in the transition kernels of Markov chains translate to chains in their stationary distributions? Many papers on the subject have shown, roughly, that the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-13 Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu , Aaron Smith

Manifold-valued parameters routinely arise in modern statistical applications such as in medical imaging, robotics, and computer vision, to name a few. While traditional Bayesian approaches are applicable to such settings by considering an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Rong Tang , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Yun Yang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proves to be powerful for Bayesian inference and in particular for exoplanet radial velocity fitting because MCMC provides more statistical information and makes better use of data than common approaches like…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-01-30 Fengji Hou , Jonathan Goodman , David W. Hogg , Jonathan Weare , Christian Schwab

We introduce a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that is designed to sample from target distributions with irregular geometry using an adaptive scheme. In cases where targets exhibit non-Gaussian behaviour, we propose that adaption…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Ameer Dharamshi , Vivian Ngo , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper proposes an eigenvalue-based small-sample approximation of the celebrated Markov Chain Monte Carlo that delivers an invariant steady-state distribution that is consistent with traditional Monte Carlo methods. The proposed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Irene Aldridge

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

Diffusion Maps framework is a kernel based method for manifold learning and data analysis that defines diffusion similarities by imposing a Markovian process on the given dataset. Analysis by this process uncovers the intrinsic geometric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-20 Moshe Salhov , Amit Bermanis , Guy Wolf , Amir Averbuch

We present a geometrically enhanced Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for networks based on a discrete curvature measure defined on graphs. Specifically, we incorporate the concept of graph Forman curvature into sampling procedures on both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 John Sigbeku , Emil Saucan , Anthea Monod

Importance sampling (IS) is commonly used for cross validation (CV) in Bayesian models, because it only involves reweighting existing posterior draws without needing to re-estimate the model by re-running Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman

Kernel embeddings of distributions and the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), the resulting distance between distributions, are useful tools for fully nonparametric two-sample testing and learning on distributions. However, it is rarely that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Ho Chung Leon Law , Christopher Yau , Dino Sejdinovic

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a powerful nonparametric Bayesian framework, but its performance depends critically on the choice of covariance kernel. Selecting an appropriate kernel is therefore central to model quality, yet remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Md Shafiqul Islam , Shakti Prasad Padhy , Douglas Allaire , Raymundo Arróyave

In this article, we derive a novel non-reversible, continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, called Coordinate Sampler, based on a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), which can be seen as a variant of the Zigzag…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

In the design and analysis of political redistricting maps, it is often useful to be able to sample from the space of all partitions of the graph of census blocks into connected subgraphs of equal population. There are influential Markov…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Ariel D. Procaccia , Jamie Tucker-Foltz

The Marchenko method retrieves the responses to virtual sources in the subsurface, accounting for all orders of multiples. The method is based on two integral representations for focusing and Green's functions. In discretized form these…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-03-25 Johno van IJsseldijk , Kees Wapenaar

In this paper we investigate the approximation properties of kernel interpolants on manifolds. The kernels we consider will be obtained by the restriction of positive definite kernels on $\R^d$, such as radial basis functions (RBFs), to a…

泛函分析 · 数学 2011-01-19 Edward Fuselier , Grady Wright

Great computational effort is invested in generating equilibrium states for molecular systems using, for example, Markov chain Monte Carlo. We present a probabilistic model that generates statistically independent samples for molecules from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-09 Gregor N. C. Simm , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato