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Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

We propose a goodness-of-fit test for degree-corrected stochastic block models (DCSBM). The test is based on an adjusted chi-square statistic for measuring equality of means among groups of $n$ multinomial distributions with $d_1,\dots,d_n$…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-23 Linfan Zhang , Arash A. Amini

Recently, high-dimensional heterogeneous data have attracted a lot of attention and discussion. Under heterogeneity, semiparametric regression is a popular choice to model data in statistics. In this paper, we take advantages of expectile…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-20 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang

We propose a new approach to learning the subgrid-scale model when simulating partial differential equations (PDEs) solved by the method of lines and their representation in chaotic ordinary differential equations, based on neural ordinary…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-04-14 Shinhoo Kang , Emil M. Constantinescu

This paper introduces an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) notion for survival analysis. The ODE notion not only provides a unified modeling framework, but more importantly, also enables the development of a widely applicable, scalable,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Kevin He , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Most unsupervised anomaly detection methods based on representations of normal samples to distinguish anomalies have recently made remarkable progress. However, existing methods only learn a single decision boundary for distinguishing the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Tianwu Lei , Silin Chen , Bohan Wang , Zhengkai Jiang , Ningmu Zou

In statistical modeling we strive to specify models that resemble data collected in studies or observed from processes. Consequently, distributional specification and parameter estimation are central to parametric models. Graphical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-10 Adam Loy , Lendie Follett , Heike Hofmann

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven successful in learning dynamical systems in terms of accurately recovering the observed trajectories. While different types of sparsity have been proposed to improve robustness, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-27 Hananeh Aliee , Till Richter , Mikhail Solonin , Ignacio Ibarra , Fabian Theis , Niki Kilbertus

Pearson's chi-squared test is widely used to test the goodness of fit between categorical data and a given discrete distribution function. When the number of sets of the categorical data, say $k$, is a fixed integer, Pearson's chi-squared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-03 Shuhua Chang , Deli Li , Yongcheng Qi

In applications of group testing in networks, e.g. identifying individuals who are infected by a disease spread over a network, exploiting correlation among network nodes provides fundamental opportunities in reducing the number of tests…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Hesam Nikpey , Jungyeol Kim , Xingran Chen , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

Ordinary differential equations have been used to model dynamical systems in a broad range. Model checking for parametric ordinary differential equations is a necessary step to check whether the assumed models are plausible. In this paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-26 Ran Liu , Yun Fang , Lixing Zhu

Machine learning methods such as deep neural networks (DNNs), despite their success across different domains, are known to often generate incorrect predictions with high confidence on inputs outside their training distribution. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-10 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Sangdon Park , Edgar Dobriban , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

The generalized linear model is widely used in all areas of applied statistics and while correct asymptotic inference can be achieved under misspecification of the distributional assumptions, a correctly specified mean structure is crucial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-07 Klaus K. Holst

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples for trusted medical image segmentation remains a significant challenge. The critical issue here is the lack of a strict definition of abnormal data, which often results in artificial problem…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-16 Anton Vasiliuk , Daria Frolova , Mikhail Belyaev , Boris Shirokikh

In industrial settings, surface defects on steel can significantly compromise its service life and elevate potential safety risks. Traditional defect detection methods predominantly rely on manual inspection, which suffers from low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Cheng Shen , Yuewei Liu

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential for determining when a supervised model encounters inputs that differ meaningfully from its training distribution. While widely studied in classification, OOD detection for regression and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Min Lu , Hemant Ishwaran

This paper is about learning the parameter-to-solution map for systems of partial differential equations (PDEs) that depend on a potentially large number of parameters covering all PDE types for which a stable variational formulation (SVF)…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-31 Markus Bachmayr , Wolfgang Dahmen , Mathias Oster

Recently, the use of Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) has been increasing to study the uncertainty in mathematical models for a wide range of applications and several extensions of the original PCE technique have been developed to deal with…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-06-23 Maria Navarro , Jeroen Witteveen , Joke Blom