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Epidemic spreading over populations networks has been an important subject of research for several decades, and especially during the Covid-19 pandemic. Most epidemic outbreaks are likely to create multiple mutations during their spreading…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-30 Aviel Ivry , Reuven Cohen , Amikam Patron

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

We study a dynamical model of epidemic spreading on complex networks in which there are explicit correlations among the node's connectivities. For the case of Markovian complex networks, showing only correlations between pairs of nodes, we…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Marian Boguna , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We develop a feedback control method for networked epidemic spreading processes. In contrast to most prior works which consider mean field, open-loop control schemes, the present work develops a novel framework for feedback control of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-23 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Some modified versions of susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) model are defined on small-world networks. Latency, incubation and variable susceptibility are included, separately. Phase transitions in these models are studied.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 H. N. Agiza , A. S. Elgazzar , S. A. Youssef

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

In the present work, a non-linear stochastic model is presented to study the effect of time variation of transmission rates on the co-evolution of epidemics and its corresponding awareness over a two layered multiplex network. In this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-08 Vikram Sagar , Yi Zhao , Abhijit Sen

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

The structure of social contact networks strongly influences the dynamics of epidemic diseases. In particular the scale-free structure of real-world social networks allows unlikely diseases with low infection rates to spread and become…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-09-13 Güven Demirel , Thilo Gross

Mathematical and computational modeling approaches are increasingly used as quantitative tools in the analysis and forecasting of infectious disease epidemics. The growing need for realism in addressing complex public health questions is…

Viruses constantly undergo mutations with genomic changes. The propagation of variants of viruses is an interesting problem. We perform numerical simulations of the microscopic epidemic model based on network theory for the spread of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-01-14 Yutaka Okabe , Akira Shudo

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Ramon Huerta , Lev S. Tsimring

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

During epidemic outbreaks, information dissemination enhances individual protection, while social institutions influence the transmission through measures like government interventions, media campaigns, and hospital resource allocation.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-06-03 Mengshou Wang , Liangrong Peng , Baoguo Jia , Liu Hong

In this paper, we analyze dynamic switching networks, wherein the networks switch arbitrarily among a set of topologies. For this class of dynamic networks, we derive an epidemic threshold, considering the SIS epidemic model. First, an…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-08-03 Mohammad Reza Sanatkar , Warren N. White , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Caterina Scoglio , Karren A. Garrett

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin

In this paper, we present a discrete-time networked SEIR model using population flow, its derivation, and assumptions under which this model is well defined. We identify properties of the system's equilibria, namely the healthy states. We…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-16 Brooks Butler , Ciyuan Zhang , Ian Walter , Nishant Nair , Raphael Stern , Philip E. Paré