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In this paper, we consider the problem of long tail scenario modeling with budget limitation, i.e., insufficient human resources for model training stage and limited time and computing resources for model inference stage. This problem is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-30 Ya-Lin Zhang , Jun Zhou , Yankun Ren , Yue Zhang , Xinxing Yang , Meng Li , Qitao Shi , Longfei Li

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Estimating the homography between two images is crucial for mid- or high-level vision tasks, such as image stitching and fusion. However, using supervised learning methods is often challenging or costly due to the difficulty of collecting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Sanghyeob Song , Jaihyun Lew , Hyemi Jang , Sungroh Yoon

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships. As multivariate input models underperforming some recent univariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Shihao Yang

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Time series prediction has been a long-standing research topic and an essential application in many domains. Modern time series collected from sensor networks (e.g., energy consumption and traffic flow) are often large-scale and incomplete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

Recent progress in time-series forecasting has led to rapidly increasing architectural complexity, yet many reported State-of-the-Art gains are statistically fragile or misattributed. We argue that progress requires a shift from model…

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

Sensors in cyber-physical systems often capture interconnected processes and thus emit correlated time series (CTS), the forecasting of which enables important applications. The key to successful CTS forecasting is to uncover the temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Xinle Wu , Dalin Zhang , Miao Zhang , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen

Time series often appear in an additive hierarchical structure. In such cases, time series on higher levels are the sums of their subordinate time series. This hierarchical structure places a natural constraint on forecasts. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Louis Steinmeister , Markus Pauly

The proposed method in this paper is designed to address the problem of time series forecasting. Although some exquisitely designed models achieve excellent prediction performances, how to extract more useful information and make accurate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-01 Yuanpeng He

In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

Self-supervised representation learning of Multivariate Time Series (MTS) is a challenging task and attracts increasing research interests in recent years. Many previous works focus on the pretext task of self-supervised learning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-10 Yijiang Chen , Xiangdong Zhou , Zhen Xing , Zhidan Liu , Minyang Xu

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

This paper introduces temporally local metrics for Multi-Object Tracking. These metrics are obtained by restricting existing metrics based on track matching to a finite temporal horizon, and provide new insight into the ability of trackers…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Jack Valmadre , Alex Bewley , Jonathan Huang , Chen Sun , Cristian Sminchisescu , Cordelia Schmid

The idea of embedding optimization problems into deep neural networks as optimization layers to encode constraints and inductive priors has taken hold in recent years. Most existing methods focus on implicitly differentiating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Haixiang Sun , Ye Shi , Jingya Wang , Hoang Duong Tuan , H. Vincent Poor , Dacheng Tao

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial in many real-world applications. To achieve accurate MTS forecasting, it is essential to simultaneously consider both intra- and inter-series relationships among time series data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Hui He , Kaize Shi , Liang Hu , Ning An , Zhendong Niu

Forecast reconciliation is a post-forecasting process that involves transforming a set of incoherent forecasts into coherent forecasts which satisfy a given set of linear constraints for a multivariate time series. In this paper we extend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Daniele Girolimetto , George Athanasopoulos , Tommaso Di Fonzo , Rob J Hyndman

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Time series forecasting has seen considerable improvement during the last years, with transformer models and large language models driving advancements of the state of the art. Modern forecasting models are generally opaque and do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Tim Kreuzer , Jelena Zdravkovic , Panagiotis Papapetrou