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Despite impressive state-of-the-art performance on a wide variety of machine learning tasks, deep learning methods can produce over-confident predictions, particularly with limited training data. Therefore, quantifying uncertainty is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-27 Haleh Akrami , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

The importance of analyzing nontrivial datasets when testing quantum machine learning (QML) models is becoming increasingly prominent in literature, yet a cohesive framework for understanding dataset characteristics remains elusive. In this…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-08-28 Alona Sakhnenko , Christian B. Mendl , Jeanette M. Lorenz

Deep unrolling is an emerging deep learning-based image reconstruction methodology that bridges the gap between model-based and purely deep learning-based image reconstruction methods. Although deep unrolling methods achieve…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-21 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Quality-Diversity (QD) has demonstrated potential in discovering collections of diverse solutions to optimisation problems. Originally designed for deterministic environments, QD has been extended to noisy, stochastic, or uncertain domains…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Manon Flageat , Johann Huber , François Helenon , Stephane Doncieux , Antoine Cully

Conceptual rainfall-runoff models aid hydrologists and climate scientists in modelling streamflow to inform water management practices. Recent advances in deep learning have unravelled the potential for combining hydrological models with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Arpit Kapoor , Rohitash Chandra

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

This paper presents a novel predictive maintenance framework centered on Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks EQRNNs, for anticipating system failures in industrial robotics. We address the challenge of early failure detection…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 David J Poland

Accurate state-of-health (SOH) estimation for lithium-ion batteries remains a challenging problem due to complex electrochemical degradation mechanisms and long-range temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose a quantum-enhanced…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-23 Yin Xu , Qinglin Liu , Li Gao , Hua Xu

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

The Multi-Kink Quantile Regression (MKQR) model is an important tool for analyzing data with heterogeneous conditional distributions, especially when quantiles of response variable are of interest, due to its robustness to outliers and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Wei Zhong , Chuang Wan , Wenyang Zhang

Machine learning is among the most widely anticipated use cases for near-term quantum computers, however there remain significant theoretical and implementation challenges impeding its scale up. In particular, there is an emerging body of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-09-20 Maxwell T. West , Martin Sevior , Muhammad Usman

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to create a decision-making agent for autonomous driving. However, previous approaches provide only black-box solutions, which do not offer information on how confident the agent is about its…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Carl-Johan Hoel , Krister Wolff , Leo Laine

Quantile regression has been advocated in survival analysis to assess evolving covariate effects. However, challenges arise when the censoring time is not always observed and may be covariate-dependent, particularly in the presence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-05 Yijian Huang

Quantile is a popular performance measure for a stochastic system to evaluate its variability and risk. To reduce the risk, selecting the actions that minimize the tail quantiles of some loss distributions is typically of interest for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-01-18 Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng , William Benjamin Haskell

Quantum parameter estimation plays a key role in many fields like quantum computation, communication and metrology. Optimal estimation allows one to achieve the most precise parameter estimates, but requires accurate knowledge of the model.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-05-15 Shibdas Roy , Dominic W. Berry , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

Quantum error mitigation (QEM) provides a practical route for estimating reliable observables on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. Traditional QEM strategies, including zero-noise extrapolation (ZNE) and Clifford data…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-21 Huaxin Wang , Xinge Wu , Jiajun Liu , Ruiqing He , Jiandong Shang , Hengliang Guo , Qiang Chen

We present the Incremental Generative Monte Carlo (IGMC) method, designed to measure uncertainty in deep neural networks using deep generative approaches. IGMC iteratively trains generative models, adding their output to the dataset, to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Yunsheng Zhang

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…