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In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to…

The bootstrap is a foundational tool in statistical inference, but its classical implementation relies on Monte Carlo resampling, introducing approximation error and incurring high computational cost -- especially for large datasets and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Yongkai Chen , Ping Ma , Wenxuan Zhong

In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-14 Tao Zhang , Kengo Kato , David Ruppert

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is a powerful computational technique for finding the maximum likelihood estimates for parametric models when the data are not fully observed. The EM is best suited for situations where the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-14 Chanseok Park

Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

This paper presents a Quantum Reinforcement Learning (QRL) solution to the dynamic portfolio optimization problem based on Variational Quantum Circuits. The implemented QRL approaches are quantum analogues of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Vincent Gurgul , Ying Chen , Stefan Lessmann

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

Inverse problems are ubiquitous in modern scientific studies and involve recovering an underlying signal from noisy observations often transformed by a measurement operator. These problems are frequently ill-posed, particularly in imaging,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Henry J. Aldridge , Tobías I. Liaudat , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

This paper investigates the application of probabilistic prediction methodologies in route planning within a road network context. Specifically, we introduce the Conformalized Quantile Regression for Graph Autoencoders (CQR-GAE), which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Lingxuan Tang , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou , Nicolo Colombo

Generative modeling using samples drawn from the probability distribution constitutes a powerful approach for unsupervised machine learning. Quantum mechanical systems can produce probability distributions that exhibit quantum correlations…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-10-07 Xun Gao , Eric R. Anschuetz , Sheng-Tao Wang , J. Ignacio Cirac , Mikhail D. Lukin

Safe deployment of graph neural networks (GNNs) under distribution shift requires models to provide accurate confidence indicators (CI). However, while it is well-known in computer vision that CI quality diminishes under distribution shift,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

We introduce a multi-fidelity estimator of covariance matrices that employs the log-Euclidean geometry of the symmetric positive-definite manifold. The estimator fuses samples from a hierarchy of data sources of differing fidelities and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-30 Aimee Maurais , Terrence Alsup , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Youssef Marzouk

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used to recover the conditional independence structure among random variables. Recent work has sought to incorporate auxiliary covariates to improve estimation, particularly in applications such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Ruobin Liu , Guo Yu

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a promising approach to improve model reliability, yet quantifying the uncertainty of Large Language Models (LLMs) is non-trivial. In this work, we establish a connection between the uncertainty of LLMs…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Mingda Li , Xinyu Li , Weinan Zhang , Longxuan Ma

The goal of generative machine learning is to model the probability distribution underlying a given data set. This probability distribution helps to characterize the generation process of the data samples. While classical generative machine…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-11-29 Christa Zoufal