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Quantum Boltzmann machines (QBMs) are generative models with potential advantages in quantum machine learning, yet their training is fundamentally limited by the barren plateau problem, where gradients vanish exponentially with system size.…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-06 Takeshi Kimura , Kohtaro Kato , Masahito Hayashi

Computational models of the human head are promising tools for estimating the impact-induced response of brain, and thus play an important role in the prediction of traumatic brain injury. Modern biofidelic head model simulations are…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

Recovery rate prediction plays a pivotal role in bond investment strategies by enhancing risk assessment, optimizing portfolio allocation, improving pricing accuracy, and supporting effective credit risk management. However, accurate…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-27 Ying Chen , Paul Griffin , Paolo Recchia , Lei Zhou , Hongrui Zhang

Recent advances in quantum hardware motivate the development of algorithmic frameworks that integrate quantum sampling with classical inference. This work introduces a segmentation-based regression method tailored to quantum neural networks…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-02 James C. Hateley

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

We introduce Extreme Quantum Cognition Machines, a class of quantum learning architectures for deliberative decision making that is tolerant to noisy and contradictory training data. Inspired by the quantum cognition paradigm, Extreme…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-15 Francesco Romeo , Jacopo Settino

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

Quantum Machine Learning (QML) models are aimed at learning from data encoded in quantum states. Recently, it has been shown that models with little to no inductive biases (i.e., with no assumptions about the problem embedded in the model)…

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Improving predictive understanding of Earth system variability and change requires data-model integration. Efficient data-model integration for complex models requires surrogate modeling to reduce model evaluation time. However, building a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-17 Dan Lu , Daniel Ricciuto

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) or stochastic approximation has been widely used in model training and stochastic optimization. While there is a huge literature on analyzing its convergence, inference on the obtained solutions from SGD…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Henry Lam , Zitong Wang

Quantum graphical models (QGMs) extend the classical framework for reasoning about uncertainty by incorporating the quantum mechanical view of probability. Prior work on QGMs has focused on hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs), which can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-13 Sandesh Adhikary , Siddarth Srinivasan , Byron Boots

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to assess prediction quality of a machine learning model. In the case of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), most methods proposed in the literature make strong assumptions on the data, ignore the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Fabian Guignard , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

Effective Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) represents a key aspect for reliable deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in automated decision-making and beyond. Yet, for LLM generation with multiple choice structure, the state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Ramzi Dakhmouche , Adrien Letellier , Hossein Gorji

On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-28 Venkat Nemani , Luca Biggio , Xun Huan , Zhen Hu , Olga Fink , Anh Tran , Yan Wang , Xiaoge Zhang , Chao Hu