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Uncertainty quantification is an important part of many performance critical applications. This paper provides a simple alternative to existing approaches such as ensemble learning and bayesian neural networks. By directly modeling the loss…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Yi Hung Lim

This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Vilde Jensen , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Stian Norman Anfinsen

Diffusion-based generative models have reformed generative AI, and also enabled new capabilities in the science domain, e.g., fast generation of 3D structures of molecules. In such tasks, there is often a symmetry in the system, identifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yixian Xu , Yusong Wang , Shengjie Luo , Kaiyuan Gao , Tianyu He , Di He , Chang Liu

We establish the validity of bootstrap methods for empirical likelihood (EL) inference under the density ratio model (DRM). In particular, we prove that the bootstrap maximum EL estimators share the same limiting distribution as their…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Weiwei Zhuang , Weiqi Yang , Jiahua Chen

Constructing robust simulators is essential for asking "what if?" questions and guiding policy in critical domains like healthcare and logistics. However, existing methods often struggle, either failing to generalize beyond historical data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Samuel Holt , Max Ruiz Luyten , Antonin Berthon , Mihaela van der Schaar

Quantum machine learning (QML) presents potential for early industrial adoption, yet limited access to quantum hardware remains a significant bottleneck for deployment of QML solutions. This work explores the use of classical surrogates to…

Test-time compute methods can significantly improve the reasoning capabilities and problem-solving accuracy of large language models (LLMs). However, these approaches require substantially more computational resources, with most compute…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Xianzhi Li , Ethan Callanan , Abdellah Ghassel , Xiaodan Zhu

Multimodal deep learning has substantially improved electrocardiogram (ECG) classification by jointly leveraging time, frequency, and time-frequency representations. However, existing generative models typically synthesize these modalities…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-31 Timothy Oladunni , Farouk Ganiyu-Adewumi , Clyde Baidoo , Kyndal Maclin

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is receiving more and more attention for engineering applications in particular from robust optimization. Indeed, running a computer experiment only provides a limited knowledge in terms of uncertainty and…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-03-19 Pamphile Tupui Roy , Luis Miguel Segui , Jean-Christophe Jouhaud , Laurent Gicquel

Kernel quantile regression (KQR) extends classical quantile regression to nonlinear settings using kernel methods, offering a powerful tool for modeling conditional distributions. However, its application to large-scale datasets remains…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-24 Shengxiang Deng , Xudong Li , Yangjing Zhang

Uncertainty estimation is pivotal in machine learning, especially for classification tasks, as it improves the robustness and reliability of models. We introduce a novel `Epistemic Wrapping' methodology aimed at improving uncertainty…

Generative modeling has seen a rising interest in both classical and quantum machine learning, and it represents a promising candidate to obtain a practical quantum advantage in the near term. In this study, we build over a proposed…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-07-31 Mohamed Hibat-Allah , Marta Mauri , Juan Carrasquilla , Alejandro Perdomo-Ortiz

Embedded quantum machine learning (EQML) seeks to bring quantum machine learning (QML) capabilities to resource-constrained edge platforms such as IoT nodes, wearables, drones, and cyber-physical controllers. In 2026, EQML is technically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Somdip Dey , Syed Muhammad Raza

The Quantitative Group Testing (QGT) is about learning a (hidden) subset $K$ of some large domain $N$ using a sequence of queries, where a result of a query provides information about the size of the intersection of the query with the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-04-22 Dariusz R. Kowalski , Dominik Pajak

As the availability, size and complexity of data have increased in recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have become popular for modeling. Predictions resulting from applying ML models are often used for inference, decision-making,…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has emerged as a promising approach for detecting hallucinations and low-quality output of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, obtaining proper uncertainty scores is complicated by the conditional…

Unit commitment (UC) optimizes the start-up and shutdown schedules of generating units to meet load demand while minimizing costs. However, the increasing integration of renewable energy introduces uncertainties for real-time scheduling.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-25 Xiang Wei , Ziqing Zhu , Linghua Zhu , Ze Hu , Xian Zhang , Guibin Wang , Siqi Bu , Ka Wing Chan

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

The efficacy of Electroencephalogram (EEG) classifiers can be augmented by increasing the quantity of available data. In the case of geometric deep learning classifiers, the input consists of spatial covariance matrices derived from EEGs.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-18 Ce Ju , Reinmar Josef Kobler , Cuntai Guan

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly employed to replace expensive computational models for physics-based reliability analysis. However, their use introduces epistemic uncertainty from model approximation errors, which couples with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Amirreza Tootchi , Xiaoping Du