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Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions. Recently proposed Causal Foundation Models (CFMs) promise a more unified approach by amortising causal discovery and inference in a…

A subvector of predictor that satisfies the ignorability assumption, whose index set is called a sufficient adjustment set, is crucial for conducting reliable causal inference based on observational data. In this paper, we propose a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Wei Luo , Fei Qin , Lixing Zhu

Motivated by a study about prompt coronary angiography in myocardial infarction, we propose a method to estimate the causal effect of a treatment in two-arm experimental studies with possible non-compliance in both treatment and control…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-26 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni

Causal effect estimation from observational data is one of the essential problems in causal inference. However, most estimation methods rely on the strong assumption that all confounders are observed, which is impractical and untestable in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Yubai Yuan , Annie Qu

Causal discovery methods aim to determine the causal direction between variables using observational data. Functional causal discovery methods, such as those based on the Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Model (LiNGAM), rely on structural and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Shreya Prakash , Fan Xia , Elena Erosheva

Unobserved confounding presents a major threat to causal inference from observational studies. Recently, several authors suggest that this problem may be overcome in a shared confounding setting where multiple treatments are independent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-25 Dehan Kong , Shu Yang , Linbo Wang

How should researchers conduct causal inference when the outcome of interest is latent and measured imperfectly by multiple indicators? We develop a general nonparametric framework for identifying and estimating average treatment effects on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments is a common problem in practice, for example, in studying average dose-response functions. Classical analyses typically assume that all confounders are fully observed, whereas in real-world…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

Missing exposure information is a very common feature of many observational studies. Here we study identifiability and efficient estimation of causal effects on vector outcomes, in such cases where treatment is unconfounded but partially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Edward H. Kennedy

This paper provides a nonparametric framework for causal inference with categorical outcomes under binary treatment and binary instrument settings. I decompose the observed joint probability of outcomes and treatment into marginal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim

Inspired by the pioneering work of Rubin (1978), we employ the potential outcomes framework to develop a finite-population Bayesian causal inference framework for randomized controlled $2^K$ factorial designs with binary outcomes, which are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-25 Jiannan Lu

In the context of a binary treatment, matching is a well-established approach in causal inference. However, in the context of a continuous treatment or exposure, matching is still underdeveloped. We propose an innovative matching approach…

Foundation models have brought changes to the landscape of machine learning, demonstrating sparks of human-level intelligence across a diverse array of tasks. However, a gap persists in complex tasks such as causal inference, primarily due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Jiaqi Zhang , Joel Jennings , Agrin Hilmkil , Nick Pawlowski , Cheng Zhang , Chao Ma

Estimation and inference of treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignments often suffer from bias and the `curse of dimensionality' due to the nonparametric estimation of nuisance parameters for high-dimensional confounders.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Zeqi Wu , Meilin Wang , Wei Huang , Zheng Zhang

Matching is a popular approach in causal inference to estimate treatment effects by pairing treated and control units that are most similar in terms of their covariate information. However, classic matching methods completely ignore the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Melanie F. Pradier , Javier González

We propose a general Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference in the point treatment setting. The joint distribution of the observed data (outcome, treatment, and confounders) is modeled using an enriched Dirichlet process.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-01 Jason Roy , Kirsten J Lum , Michael J. Daniels , Bret Zeldow , Jordan Dworkin , Vincent Lo Re

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

With increasing data availability, causal effects can be evaluated across different data sets, both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies. RCTs isolate the effect of the treatment from that of unwanted (confounding)…

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

We study identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment variable on a long-term outcome using data from an observational and an experimental domain. The observational data are subject to unobserved confounding. Furthermore,…