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We introduce a new scalable approximation for Gaussian processes with provable guarantees which hold simultaneously over its entire parameter space. Our approximation is obtained from an improved sample complexity analysis for sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hai Pham , David P. Woodruff

We consider the problem of selecting covariates in spatial linear models with Gaussian process errors. Penalized maximum likelihood estimation (PMLE) that enables simultaneous variable selection and parameter estimation is developed and,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-24 Tingjin Chu , Jun Zhu , Haonan Wang

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

We study the nonparametric covariance estimation of a stationary Gaussian field X observed on a regular lattice. In the time series setting, some procedures like AIC are proved to achieve optimal model selection among autoregressive models.…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-02 Nicolas Verzelen

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

Computer models are used as replacements for physical experiments in a large variety of applications. Nevertheless, direct use of the computer model for the ultimate scientific objective is often limited by the complexity and cost of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-03 Sonja Surjanovic , William J. Welch

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a powerful nonparametric Bayesian framework, but its performance depends critically on the choice of covariance kernel. Selecting an appropriate kernel is therefore central to model quality, yet remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Md Shafiqul Islam , Shakti Prasad Padhy , Douglas Allaire , Raymundo Arróyave

Both in terrestrial and extraterrestrial environments, the precise and informative model of the ground and the surface ahead is crucial for navigation and obstacle avoidance. The ground surface is not always flat and it may be sloped, bumpy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Pouria Mehrabi , Hamid D. Taghirad

Spatial-temporal Gaussian process regression is a popular method for spatial-temporal data modeling. Its state-of-art implementation is based on the state-space model realization of the spatial-temporal Gaussian process and its…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-27 Junpeng Zhang , Yue Ju , Biqiang Mu , Renxin Zhong , Tianshi Chen

We propose a new approach for the modeling large datasets of nonstationary spatial processes that combines a latent low rank process and a sparse covariance model. The low rank component coefficients are endowed with a flexible graphical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Matthew LeDuc , William Kleiber , Tomoko Matsuo

Several emerging post-Bayesian methods target a probability distribution for which an entropy-regularised variational objective is minimised. This increased flexibility introduces a computational challenge, as one loses access to an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Clémentine Chazal , Heishiro Kanagawa , Zheyang Shen , Anna Korba , Chris. J. Oates

In this work we study the non-parametric reconstruction of spatio-temporal dynamical Gaussian processes (GPs) via GP regression from sparse and noisy data. GPs have been mainly applied to spatial regression where they represent one of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Marco Todescato , Andrea Carron , Ruggero Carli , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato

A central challenge in Bayesian inference is efficiently approximating posterior distributions. Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) is a popular variational inference method which transports a set of particles to approximate a target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Moritz Melcher , Simon Weissmann , Ashia C. Wilson , Jakob Zech

Gaussian processes are powerful non-parametric probabilistic models for stochastic functions. However, the direct implementation entails a complexity that is computationally intractable when the number of observations is large, especially…

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

Skew-symmetric functions are a class of functions defined on a product space $M \times M$ that are antisymmetric with respect to the order of their inputs. In [13], the authors proved that non-deterministic skew-symmetric Gaussian fields…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-18 Munki Jeong , Alexander Strang

This work considers the computation of risk measures for quantities of interest governed by PDEs with Gaussian random field parameters using Taylor approximations. While efficient, Taylor approximations are local to the point of expansion,…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-08-14 Dingcheng Luo , Joshua Chen , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Many physical and mathematical models involve random fields in their input data. Examples are ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations and integro--differential equations with uncertainties in the coefficient…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-07 Michael Griebel , Guanglian Li , Christian Rieger

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

Generative models and those with computationally intractable likelihoods are widely used to describe complex systems in the natural sciences, social sciences, and engineering. Fitting these models to data requires likelihood-free inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Rui Zhang , Oksana A. Chkrebtii , Dongbin Xiu