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Statistical change point (CP) detection methods typically rely on likelihood-based inference and ignore contextual information about plausible CP locations beyond the observed sequence. Although informative priors provide a natural way to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Jonathon Jacobs , Shanshan Chen

Time series forecasting is widely used in the fields of equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, traffic flow forecasting, and other fields. Recently, some scholars have tried to apply Transformer to time series forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

This paper presents a novel approach for estimating the modes of an observed non-stationary mixture signal. A link is first established between the short-time Fourier transform and the sparse sampling theory, where the observations are…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-23 Quentin Legros , Dominique Fourer

Discrete events alter how parameter influence propagates in hybrid systems. Prevailing Fisher information formulations assume that sensitivities evolve smoothly according to continuous-time variational equations and therefore neglect the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-01 Bukunmi G. Odunlami , Marcos Netto , Hai Lin

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction sets with guaranteed coverage assuming only the exchangeability assumption. However, this assumption is often violated in online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Jungbin Jun , Ilsang Ohn

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Lukas Fleckenstein , Sebastian Kauschke , Johannes Fürnkranz

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse

Modern longitudinal data, for example from wearable devices, measures biological signals on a fixed set of participants at a diverging number of time points. Traditional statistical methods are not equipped to handle the computational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-23 Lan Luo , Jingshen Wang , Emily C. Hector

We study inference on scalar-valued pathwise differentiable targets after adaptive data collection, such as a bandit algorithm. We introduce a novel target-specific condition, directional stability, which is strictly weaker than previously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Zikai Shen , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Arthur Gretton , Koulik Khamaru , Aurélien Bibaut

Expected Fisher information can be found a priori and as a result its inverse is the primary variance approximation used in the design of experiments. This is in contrast to the common claim that the inverse of observed Fisher information…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Adam Lane

Non-parametric change-point detection in streaming time series data is a long-standing challenge in signal processing. Recent advancements in statistics and machine learning have increasingly addressed this problem for data residing on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Xiuheng Wang , Ricardo Borsoi , Arnaud Breloy , Cédric Richard

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection problem is investigated, which is motivated by a change detection problem that arises in piecewise stationary bandits. The goal is to minimize the \emph{latency}, which is smallest…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-06-19 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

To detect changes in the mean of a time series, one may use previsible detection procedures based on nonparametric kernel prediction smoothers which cover various classic detection statistics as special cases. Bandwidth selection,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the data generating distribution changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. In this paper we consider the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-16 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

In this article, a new category of soft-input soft-output (SISO) minimum-mean square error (MMSE) finite-impulse response (FIR) decision feedback equalizers (DFEs) with iteration-wise static filters (i.e. iteration variant) is investigated.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-01-29 Serdar Şahin , Antonio Maria Cipriano , Charly Poulliat , Marie-Laure Boucheret

In practical applications, the efficacy of a control algorithm relies critically on the accurate knowledge of the parameters and states of the underlying system. However, obtaining these quantities in practice is often challenging. Adaptive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-18 Anchita Dey , Soutrik Bandyopadhyay , Shubhendu Bhasin

A novel procedure for the online identification of a class of discrete-time switched linear systems, which simultaneously estimates the parameters and switching manifolds of the systems, is proposed in this paper. Firstly, to estimate the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-08 Zengjie Zhang , Yingwei Du , Tong Liu , Fangzhou Liu , Martin Buss

Robust facial expression recognition in unconstrained, "in-the-wild" environments remains challenging due to significant domain shifts between training and testing distributions. Test-time adaptation (TTA) offers a promising solution by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Mohammadmahdi Honarmand , Onur Cezmi Mutlu , Parnian Azizian , Saimourya Surabhi , Dennis P. Wall