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Non-significant randomized control trials can hide subgroups of good responders to experimental drugs, thus hindering subsequent development. Identifying such heterogeneous treatment effects is key for precision medicine and many post-hoc…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-24 Valentine Perrin , Nathan Noiry , Nicolas Loiseau , Alex Nowak

In biomedical science, analyzing treatment effect heterogeneity plays an essential role in assisting personalized medicine. The main goals of analyzing treatment effect heterogeneity include estimating treatment effects in clinically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Waverly Wei , Maya Petersen , Mark J van der Laan , Zeyu Zheng , Chong Wu , Jingshen Wang

To effectively optimize and personalize treatments, it is necessary to investigate the heterogeneity of treatment effects. With the wide range of users being treated over many online controlled experiments, the typical approach of manually…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-07 John Cai , Weinan Wang

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

A popular method for estimating a causal treatment effect with observational data is the difference-in-differences (DiD) model. In this work, we consider an extension of the classical DiD setting to the hierarchical context in which data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-17 James Normington , Eric F. Lock , Thomas A. Murray , Caroline S. Carlin

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Filippo Palomba , Rocio Titiunik

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is an important problem across many domains. In order to accurately estimate such treatment effects, one typically relies on data from observational studies or randomized experiments. Currently,…

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud

This paper addresses the sample selection model within the context of the gender gap problem, where even random treatment assignment is affected by selection bias. By offering a robust alternative free from distributional or specification…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-04 Xiaolin Sun , Xueyan Zhao , D. S. Poskitt

Large observational data are increasingly available in disciplines such as health, economic and social sciences, where researchers are interested in causal questions rather than prediction. In this paper, we examine the problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Alberto Caron , Gianluca Baio , Ioanna Manolopoulou

There is an increasing interest in estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in randomized and observational studies. However, little research has been conducted to understand heterogeneity in an instrumental variables study. In this work,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-20 Michael Johnson , Jiongyi Cao , Hyunseung Kang

Heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) are increasingly estimated using machine learning models that produce highly personalized predictions of treatment effects. In practice, however, predicted treatment effects are rarely interpreted,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Joel Persson , Jurriën Bakker , Dennis Bohle , Stefan Feuerriegel , Florian von Wangenheim

The Bayesian Optimal Phase II (BOP2) framework is a flexible trial design that can naturally facilitate complex adaptations due to its Bayesian setting. BOP2 uses equal randomisation and equally placed interim analyses in its design, but it…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Connor Fitchett , Ayon Mukherjee , Sofía S. Villar , David S. Robertson

Basket trials have gained increasing attention for their efficiency, as multiple patient subgroups are evaluated simultaneously. Conducted basket trials focus primarily on establishing the early efficacy of a treatment, yet continued…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Zhi Cao , Pavel Mozgunov , Haiyan Zheng

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) is a useful approach to causal inference from observational studies when randomised controlled trials are not feasible. However, study heterogeneity of two association studies required in MR is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

Individualized treatment rules tailor treatments to patients based on clinical, demographic, and other characteristics. Estimation of individualized treatment rules requires the identification of individuals who benefit most from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Junwei Shen , Erica E. M. Moodie , Shirin Golchi

An important aspect of precision medicine focuses on characterizing diverse responses to treatment due to unique patient characteristics, also known as heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE), and identifying beneficial subgroups with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Na Bo , Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Erick Forno , Ying Ding

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Estimating the joint effect of a multivariate, continuous exposure is crucial, particularly in environmental health where interest lies in simultaneously evaluating the impact of multiple environmental pollutants on health. We develop novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-06 Heejun Shin , Antonio Linero , Michelle Audirac , Kezia Irene , Danielle Braun , Joseph Antonelli

Every design choice will have different effects on different units. However traditional A/B tests are often underpowered to identify these heterogeneous effects. This is especially true when the set of unit-level attributes is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-09 Alexander Peysakhovich , Akos Lada