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Extreme values and the tail behavior of probability distributions are essential for quantifying and mitigating risk in complex systems of all kinds. In multivariate settings, accounting for correlations is crucial. Although extreme value…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-06 Benjamin Köhler , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

We address the important question of the extent to which random variables and vectors with truncated power tails retain the characteristic features of random variables and vectors with power tails. We define two truncation regimes, soft…

概率论 · 数学 2010-01-20 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

Programs with randomization constructs is an active research topic, especially after the recent introduction of martingale-based analysis methods for their termination and runtimes. Unlike most of the existing works that focus on proving…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2019-02-18 Satoshi Kura , Natsuki Urabe , Ichiro Hasuo

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

The extreme values theory presents specific tools for modeling and predicting extreme phenomena. In particular, risk assessment is often analyzed through measures for tail dependence and high values clustering. Despite technological…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-23 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We introduce the relative tail entropy to establish a variational principle for continuous bundle random dynamical systems. We also show that the relative tail entropy is conserved by the principal extension.

动力系统 · 数学 2016-06-20 Xianfeng Ma , Ercai Chen

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

We consider random walks amongst random conductances in the cases where the conductances can be arbitrarily small, with a heavy-tailed distribution at 0, and where the conductances may or may not have a heavy-tailed distribution at…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-19 David A. Croydon , Daniel Kious , Carlo Scali

Regular and rapid variation have been extensively studied in the literature and applied across various fields, particularly in extreme value theory. In this paper, we examine regular and rapid variation through the lens of generalized…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-17 Haijun Li

We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-05-11 Martin Gremm

This article studies the monotonicity, log-convexity of the modified Lommel functions by using its power series and infinite product representation. Same properties for the ratio of the modified Lommel functions with the Lommel function,…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2017-04-18 Saiful R Mondal

Quantile regression is an important tool for estimation of conditional quantiles of a response Y given a vector of covariates X. It can be used to measure the effect of covariates not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov

We present some results on the monotonicity of some traces involving functions of self-adjoint operators with respect to the natural ordering of their associated quadratic forms. We also apply these results to complete a proof of the Wegner…

泛函分析 · 数学 2016-09-14 J. -M. Combes , P. D. Hislop

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

We simplify the proof of some widely used theoretical theorems, extending their applicability, while correcting some erroneous results. We also generalize key results and present new results that contribute to the development of the theory.…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2025-10-02 V. E. Sándor Szabó

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

The long-time behavior of the velocity autocorrelation function in a classical two-dimensional electric conduction system is studied by the molecular dynamics simulation. In equilibrium, the effect of coexistence of many-body interactions…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Tatsuro Yuge , Akira Shimizu

A common object to describe the extremal dependence of a $d$-variate random vector $X$ is the stable tail dependence function $L$. Various parametric models have emerged, with a popular subclass consisting of those stable tail dependence…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexis Boulin , Axel Bücher
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