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Context. There is no consensus on the amplitude of the historical solar forcing. The estimated magnitude of the total solar irradiance difference between Maunder minimum and present time ranges from 0.1 to 6 W/m2 making uncertain the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-07-18 T. Egorova , W. Schmutz , E. Rozanov , A. I. Shapiro , I. Usoskin , J. Beer , R. V. Tagirov , T. Peter

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

The projection of shadows from moving clouds in the troposphere impacts energy generation in power grids using photovoltaic systems. This investigation proposes an efficient method of data processing for the statistical quantification of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-09-21 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

This paper presents a solution to the Weather4Cast 2023 competition, where the goal is to forecast high-resolution precipitation with an 8-hour lead time using lower-resolution satellite radiance images. We propose a simple, yet effective…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Rafael Pablos Sarabia , Joachim Nyborg , Morten Birk , Ira Assent

This paper considers a typical solar installations scenario with limited sensing resources. In the literature, there exist either day-ahead solar generation prediction methods with limited accuracy, or high accuracy short timescale methods…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-12 Yubo Wang , Bin Wang , Rui Huang , Chi-Cheng Chu , Hemanshu R. Pota , Rajit Gadh

The dynamics of the solar radiative interior are still poorly constrained by comparison to the convective zone. This disparity is even more marked when we attempt to derive meaningful temporal variations. Many data sets contain a small…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Antonio Eff-Darwich , Sylain G. Korzennik

The variation in the radiative output of the Sun, described in terms of solar irradiance, is important to climatology. A common assumption is that solar irradiance variability is driven by its surface magnetism. Verifying this assumption…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-09-05 K. L. Yeo , S. K. Solanki , C. M. Norris , B. Beeck , Y. C. Unruh , N. A. Krivova

The Earth's primary source of energy is the radiant energy generated by the Sun, which is referred to as solar irradiance, or total solar irradiance (TSI) when all of the radiation is measured. A minor change in the solar irradiance can…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-07-26 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Yucong Shen , Khalid A. Alobaid , Serena Criscuoli , Haimin Wang

Machine learning's application in solar-thermal desalination is limited by data shortage and inconsistent analysis. This study develops an optimized dataset collection and analysis process for the representative solar still. By…

The growing proliferation in solar deployment, especially at distribution level, has made the case for power system operators to develop more accurate solar forecasting models. This paper proposes a solar photovoltaic (PV) generation…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-10-12 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

An accurate solar wind speed model is important for space weather predictions, catastrophic event warnings, and other issues concerning solar wind - magnetosphere interaction. In this work, we construct a model based on convolutional neural…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-04-05 Rong Lin , Zhekai Luo , Jiansen He , Lun Xie , Chuanpeng Hou , Shuwei Chen

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Wind speed forecasting models and their application to wind farm operations are attaining remarkable attention in the literature because of its benefits as a clean energy source. In this paper, we suggested the time series machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 G. V. Drisya , Valsaraj P. , K. Asokan , K. Satheesh Kumar

In this work we analyse a set of benchmark methods for solar irradiance forecasting based on the clear-sky index, namely, persistence, climatology, smart-persistence and convex combination (CC) of persistence and climatology. To assess the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-03-29 Rodrigo Alonso-Suárez , Daniel Aicardi , Franco Marchesoni-Acland

To address the high levels of uncertainty associated with photovoltaic energy, an increasing number of studies focusing on short-term solar forecasting (i.e. nowcasting) have been published. Most of these studies use deep-learning-based…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-07 Lorenzo F. C. Varaschin , Danilo Silva

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) has advanced significantly in recent decades but still faces challenges in accuracy, computational efficiency, and scalability. Data-driven weather models have shown great promise, sometimes surpassing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-18 Animesh Choudhury , Jagabandhu Panda

We study the temporal evolution of solar inertial modes over the solar cycle using observations from GONG and SDO/HMI. We focus on the high-latitude mode with azimuthal wavenumber $m=1$ and the equatorial Rossby modes with $3 \le m \le 16$.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-04 B Lekshmi , Zhi-Chao Liang , Laurent Gizon , Jordan Philidet , Kiran Jain

This study investigates the trend in Rainfall Onset Dates (ROD), Rainfall Cessation Dates (RCD), Length of Growing Seasons (LGS) and Rainfall Amount at Onset of Rainfall (RAO) using linear regression, Mann-Kendall, Sen Slope and Hurst…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-11-27 I. A. Fuwape , S. T. Ogunjo

Wind energy plays a critical role in the transition towards renewable energy sources. However, the uncertainty and variability of wind can impede its full potential and the necessary growth of wind power capacity. To mitigate these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Stefan Jonas , Kevin Winter , Bernhard Brodbeck , Angela Meyer