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In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

In this paper, researchers estimated the stock price of activated companies in Tehran (Iran) stock exchange. It is used Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network methods and compared these two methods. In Artificial Neural Network, of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2010-03-16 Reza Gharoie Ahangar , Mahmood Yahyazadehfar , Hassan Pournaghshband

The prediction of a stock price has always been a challenging issue, as its volatility can be affected by many factors such as national policies, company financial reports, industry performance, and investor sentiment etc.. In this paper,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-09-08 Qiao Zhou , Ningning Liu

Designing robust systems for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. Even more challenging is to build a system for constructing an optimum portfolio of stocks based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

Volatility clustering is a crucial property that has a substantial impact on stock market patterns. Nonetheless, developing robust models for accurately predicting future stock price volatility is a difficult research topic. For predicting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-20 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

Stock market is often important as it represents the ownership claims on businesses. Without sufficient stocks, a company cannot perform well in finance. Predicting a stock market performance of a company is nearly hard because every time…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-25 Aadhitya A , Rajapriya R , Vineetha R S , Anurag M Bagde

We argue that an important contributing factor into market inefficiency is the lack of a robust mechanism for the stock price to rise if a company has good earnings, e.g., via buybacks/dividends. Instead, the stock price is prone to…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-11-05 Zura Kakushadze

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on a financial exchange.

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-03-03 Osman Hegazy , Omar S. Soliman , Mustafa Abdul Salam

We introduce a new system of stochastic differential equations which models dependence of market beta and unsystematic risk upon size, measured by market capitalization. We fit our model using size deciles data from Kenneth French's data…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-28 Andrey Sarantsev , Blessing Ofori-Atta , Brandon Flores

Given financial data from popular sites like Yahoo and the London Exchange, the presented paper attempts to model and predict stocks that can be considered "good investments". Stocks are characterized by 125 features ranging from gross…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-03-10 Mike Wu

As is widely known, the stock market is a complex system in which a multitude of factors influence the performance of individual stocks and the market as a whole. One method for comprehending -- and potentially predicting -- stock market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-19 Aarush Pratik Sheth , Jonah Riley Weinbaum , Kevin Javier Zvonarek

We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market…

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Kaushal Attaluri , Mukesh Tripathi , Srinithi Reddy , Shivendra

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn