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Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are widely used to evaluate group-level interventions and increasingly collect multiple outcomes capturing complementary dimensions of benefit and risk. Investigators often seek a single global summary of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-22 Xinyuan Chen , Fan Li

We study the problem of estimation of Individual Treatment Effects (ITE) in the context of multiple treatments and networked observational data. Leveraging the network information, we aim to utilize hidden confounders that may not be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-20 Abhinav Thorat , Ravi Kolla , Niranjan Pedanekar , Naoyuki Onoe

Clinical study populations often differ meaningfully from the broader populations to which results are intended to generalize. Weighting methods such as inverse probability of sampling weights (IPSW) reweight study participants to resemble…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William Stewart , Carly L. Brantner , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Laine Thomas

While randomized trials may be the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of the treatment intervention, in some special circumstances, single-arm clinical trials utilizing external control may be considered. The causal treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Huan Wang , Fei Wu , Yeh-Fong Chen

We argue that randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are special even among settings where average treatment effects are identified by a nonparametric unconfoundedness assumption. This claim follows from two results of Robins and Ritov (1997):…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 P. M. Aronow , James M. Robins , Theo Saarinen , Fredrik Sävje , Jasjeet Sekhon

This study considers the estimation of the direct bias-correction term for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). Let $\{(X_i, D_i, Y_i)\}_{i=1}^{n}$ be the observations, where $X_i$ denotes $K$-dimensional covariates, $D_i \in \{0,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-02 Masahiro Kato

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

While randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal treatment effects, their limited sample sizes and restrictive criteria make it difficult to extrapolate to a broader population. Observational data, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Stephanie Riley , Ricardo Silva , Matthew Sperrin

Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATE) estimation is one of the main challenges in causal inference with observational data. In addition to Machine Learning based-models, nonparametric estimators called meta-learners have been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Naoufal Acharki , Ramiro Lugo , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier

Experiments that use covariate adaptive randomization (CAR) are commonplace in applied economics and other fields. In such experiments, the experimenter first stratifies the sample according to observed baseline covariates and then assigns…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-16 Ahnaf Rafi

Unmeasured confounding is a threat to causal inference in observational studies. In recent years, use of negative controls to mitigate unmeasured confounding has gained increasing recognition and popularity. Negative controls have a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-05 Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Jennifer C. Nelson , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

This paper considers fixed effects (FE) estimation for linear panel data models under possible model misspecification when both the number of individuals, $n$, and the number of time periods, $T$, are large. We first clarify the probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-12 Antonio F. Galvao , Kengo Kato

Treatment effect estimation is essential for informed decision-making in many fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. While flexible machine learning models have been widely applied for estimating heterogeneous treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Pascal Memmesheimer , Vincent Heuveline , Jürgen Hesser

This paper provides a new approach for identifying and estimating the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated under a linear factor model that allows for multiple time-varying unobservables. Unlike the majority of the literature on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Koki Fusejima , Takuya Ishihara

Within the field of causal inference, we consider the problem of estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from data. We propose and validate a novel approach for learning feature representations to aid the estimation of the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-23 Michael C. Burkhart , Gabriel Ruiz

We derive new variance formulas for inference on a general class of estimands of causal average treatment effects in a Randomized Control Trial (RCT). We generalize Robins (1988) and show that when the estimand of interest is the Sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-19 Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Yotam Shem-Tov

Manski's nonparametric bounds partially identify the average treatment effects (ATEs) under minimal assumptions, yielding an interval-valued estimand with endpoints that depend on the outcome support - typically treated as known or fixed.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Grace Lordan , Kaveh Salehzadeh Nobari

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

The average treatment effect (ATE) is commonly used to quantify the main effect of a binary treatment on an outcome. Extensions to continuous treatments are usually based on the dose-response curve or shift interventions, but both require…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt