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We propose a new, physically motivated fitting function for density PDFs in turbulent gas. Although it is known that when gas is isothermal, the PDF is approximately lognormal in the core, high-resolution simulations show large deviations…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2013-07-02 Philip F. Hopkins

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Teemu Härkönen , Simo Särkkä

Time series of observables measured from complex systems do often exhibit non-normal statistics, their statistical distributions (PDF's) are not gaussian and often skewed, with roughly exponential tails. Departure from gaussianity is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-06-29 F. Sattin

We consider the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for the underlying event time based on mixed-case interval-censored data, under a log-concavity assumption on its distribution function. This generalized framework relaxes the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Chi Wing Chu , Hok Kan Ling , Chaoyu Yuan

Empirical evidence shows stock returns are often heavy-tailed rather than normally distributed. The $\kappa$-generalised distribution, originated in the context of statistical physics by Kaniadakis, is characterised by the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-17 Samuel Forbes

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

The kappa-deformed statistics has been studied in many papers. It is naturally important question for us to ask what should the kappa parameter stand for and under what physical situation should the kappa-deformed statistics be suitable for…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-08-10 Lina Guo , Jiulin Du

It is well known that the probability distribution of high-frequency financial returns is characterized by a leptokurtic, heavy-tailed shape. This behavior undermines the typical assumption of Gaussian log-returns behind the standard…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-14 Federica De Domenico , Giacomo Livan , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We demonstrate that a nonthermal distribution of particles described by a kappa distribution can be accurately approximated by a weighted sum of Maxwell-Boltzmann distributions. We apply this method to modeling collision processes in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-09-09 Michael Hahn , Daniel Wolf Savin

A multiplicative stochastic process with the lower bound lognormally distributed is investigated. For the process, the model is constructed, and its distribution function (involving four parameters) and the related statistical properties…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Over the last two decades, it has been argued that the Lorentz transformation mechanism, which imposes the generalization of Newton's classical mechanics into Einstein's special relativity, implies a generalization, or deformation, of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-04 G. Kaniadakis

Probability functions figure prominently in optimization problems of engineering. They may be nonsmooth even if all input data are smooth.This fact motivates the consideration of subdifferentials for such typically just continuous…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-07-25 Abderrahim Hantoute , René Henrion , Pedro Pérez-Aros

We introduce constrained Gaussian process (CGP), a Gaussian process model for random functions that allows easy placement of mathematical constrains (e.g., non-negativity, monotonicity, etc) on its sample functions. CGP comes with…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-01-23 Jakub Ślęzak , Ralf Metzler , Marcin Magdziarz

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Gaussian graphical models, where it is assumed that the variables of interest jointly follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sparse precision matrix, have been used to study intrinsic dependence among variables, but the normality…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

Many-body stochastic processes with weighted multiplicative interactions are investigated analytically and numerically. An interaction rate between particles with quantities $x, y$ is controlled by a homogeneous symmetric kernel $K(x, y)…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Satoshi Tanimoto , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya