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Goals are results of pin-point shots and it is a pivotal decision in soccer when, how and where to shoot. The main contribution of this study is two-fold. At first, after showing that there exists high spatial correlation in the data of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Debangan Dey

In football game analysis, space evaluation is an important issue because it is directly related to the quality of ball passing or player formations. Previous studies have primarily focused on a field division approach wherein a field is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-11 Takuma Narizuka , Yoshihiro Yamazaki , Kenta Takizawa

The expected possession value (EPV) of a soccer possession represents the likelihood of a team scoring or receiving the next goal at any time instance. By decomposing the EPV into a series of subcomponents that are estimated separately, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Javier Fernandez , Luke Bornn , Daniel Cervone

Given a monocular video of a soccer match, this paper presents a computational model to estimate the most feasible pass at any given time. The method leverages offensive player's orientation (plus their location) and opponents' spatial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

We present an open, sport-agnostic platform that turns tracking into comparable spatial measures across professional Ultimate, basketball, and soccer. Coaches in all three sports ask the same question: where is the usable space, and when…

This paper introduces the first Expected Possession Value (EPV) benchmark and a new and improved EPV model for football. Through the introduction of the OJN-Pass-EPV benchmark, we present a novel method to quantitatively assess the quality…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Thijs Overmeer , Tim Janssen , Wim P. M. Nuijten

Estimation of football players' skills is one of the key tasks in sports analytics. This paper introduces multiple extensions to a widely used model, expected possession value (EPV), to address some key challenges such as selection problem.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Andrei Shelopugin

We present a fully convolutional neural network architecture that is capable of estimating full probability surfaces of potential passes in soccer, derived from high-frequency spatiotemporal data. The network receives layers of low-level…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Javier Fernández , Luke Bornn

Traditional approaches to measuring visual exploratory behavior in soccer rely on counting visual exploratory actions (VEAs) based on rapid head movements exceeding 125{\deg}/s, but this method suffer from player position bias (i.e., a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Joris Bekkers

Although orientation has proven to be a key skill of soccer players in order to succeed in a broad spectrum of plays, body orientation is a yet-little-explored area in sports analytics' research. Despite being an inherently ambiguous…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-20 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Carlos Rodríguez , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

Defensive organization is critical in soccer, particularly during negative transitions when teams are most vulnerable. The back-four defensive line plays a decisive role in preventing goal-scoring opportunities, yet its collective…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Soujanya Dash , Kenjiro Ide , Rikuhei Umemoto , Kai Amino , Keisuke Fujii

Analysis of invasive sports such as soccer is challenging because the game situation changes continuously in time and space, and multiple agents individually recognize the game situation and make decisions. Previous studies using deep…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Hiroshi Nakahara , Kazushi Tsutsui , Kazuya Takeda , Keisuke Fujii

Ultimate is a sport in which teams of seven players compete for points by passing a disc into the end zone. A distinctive aspect of Ultimate is that the player holding the disc is unable to move, underscoring the significance of creating…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-24 Shunsuke Iwashita , Atom Scott , Rikuhei Umemoto , Ning Ding , Keisuke Fujii

Transfers play a pivotal role in shaping a football club's success, yet forecasting whether a transfer will succeed remains difficult due to the strong context-dependence of on-field performance. Existing evaluation practices often rely on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Miru Hong , Minho Lee , Geonhee Jo , Jae-Hee So , Pascal Bauer , Sang-Ki Ko

Basketball games evolve continuously in space and time as players constantly interact with their teammates, the opposing team, and the ball. However, current analyses of basketball outcomes rely on discretized summaries of the game that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-11 Daniel Cervone , Alex D'Amour , Luke Bornn , Kirk Goldsberry

In soccer (or association football), players quickly go from heroes to zeroes, or vice-versa. Performance is not a static measure but a somewhat volatile one. Analyzing performance as a time series rather than a stationary point in time is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Penalties are fraught and game-changing moments in soccer games that teams explicitly prepare for. Consequently, there has been substantial interest in analyzing them in order to provide advice to practitioners. From a data science…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Lotte Bransen , Tim Janssen , Jesse Davis

Soccer is undeniably the most popular sport world-wide and everyone from general managers and coaching staff to fans and media are interested in evaluating players' performance. Metrics applied successfully in other sports, such as the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-04 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Wayne Winston

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

In professional basketball, the accurate prediction of scoring opportunities based on strategic decision-making is crucial for spatial and player evaluations. However, traditional models often face challenges in accounting for the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Rikako Kono , Keisuke Fujii
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