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We focus on large blackouts in electric distribution systems caused by extreme winds. Such events have a large cost and impact on customers. To quantify resilience to these events, we formulate large event risk and show how to calculate it…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-21 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

The impact of routine smaller outages on distribution system customers in terms of customer minutes interrupted can be tracked using conventional reliability indices. However, the customer minutes interrupted in large blackout events are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-20 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

It is of growing concern to ensure resilience in power distribution systems to extreme weather events. However, there are no clear methodologies or metrics available for resilience assessment that allows system planners to assess the impact…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Anamika Dubey , Shiva Poudel

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang

We develop LENORI, a Large Event Number of Outages Resilience Index measuring distribution system resilience with the number of forced line outages observed in large extreme events. LENORI is calculated from standard utility outage data.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

In the electrical grid, the distribution system is themost vulnerable to severe weather events. Well-placed and coordinatedupgrades, such as the combination of microgrids, systemhardening and additional line redundancy, can greatly reduce…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-05-24 Arthur Barnes , Harsha Nagarajan , Emre Yamangil , Russell Bent , Scott Backhaus

Cyber security and resilience are major challenges in our modern economies; this is why they are top priorities on the agenda of governments, security and defense forces, management of companies and organizations. Hence, the need of a deep…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Michel Dacorogna , Nehla Debbabi , Marie Kratz

We study tail risk dynamics in high-frequency financial markets and their connection with trading activity and market uncertainty. We introduce a dynamic extreme value regression model accommodating both stationary and local unit-root…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-05 Julien Hambuckers , Li Sun , Luca Trapin

Large scale power failures induced by severe weather have become frequent and damaging in recent years, causing millions of people to be without electricity service for days. Although the power industry has been battling weather-induced…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-12-05 Chuanyi Ji , Yun Wei , H. Vincent Poor

It is of growing concern to ensure the resilience in electricity infrastructure systems to extreme weather events with the help of appropriate hardening measures and new operational procedures. An effective mitigation strategy requires a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-19 Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Anjan Bose

Whereas maintenance has been recognized as an important and effective means for risk management in power systems, it turns out to be intractable if cascading blackout risk is considered due to the extremely high computational complexity. In…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-28 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Yunhe Hou , Shengwei Mei

Parametric insurance has emerged as a practical way to cover risks that may be difficult to assess. By introducing a parameter that triggers compensation and allows the insurer to determine a payment without estimating the actual loss,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-20 Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We analyze a 19-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts. Contrary to previously reported results we find a fatter than exponential decay in the distribution of inter-occurrence times and evidence of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Rafal Weron , Ingve Simonsen

Supply chain resilience analysis aims to identify the critical elements in the supply chain, measure its reliability, and analyze solutions for improving vulnerabilities. While extensive methods like stochastic approaches have been…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-05-22 Yaxin Pang , Shenle Pan , Eric Ballot

Software defects rediscovered by a large number of customers affect various stakeholders and may: 1) hint at gaps in a software manufacturer's Quality Assurance (QA) processes, 2) lead to an over-load of a software manufacturer's support…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2011-07-21 Andriy V. Miranskyy , Matthew Davison , Mark Reesor

The demand for resilient logistics networks has increased because of recent disasters. When we consider optimization problems, entropy regularization is a powerful tool for the diversification of a solution. In this study, we proposed a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-06 Koshi Oishi , Yota Hashizume , Tomohiko Jimbo , Hirotaka Kaji , Kenji Kashima

Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu
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