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This article addresses issues of model criticism and model comparison in Bayesian contexts, and focusses on the use of the so-called posterior predictive p-values (ppp values). These involve a general discrepancy or conflict measure and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Fredrik A. Dahl , Gunnhildur Högnadóttir Steinbakk

The Kolmogorov--Smirnov (KS) test is a widely used statistical test that assesses the conformity of a sample to a specified distribution. Its efficacy, however, diminishes with serially dependent data and when parameters within the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Mathew Chandy , Elizabeth Schifano , Jun Yan , Xianyang Zhang

We analyse the calibration of BayesCG under the Krylov prior, a probabilistic numeric extension of the Conjugate Gradient (CG) method for solving systems of linear equations with symmetric positive definite coefficient matrix. Calibration…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-08-09 Tim W. Reid , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates

We present an extension of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) two-sample test, which can be more sensitive to differences in the tails. Our test statistic is an integral probability metric (IPM) defined over a higher-order total variation ball,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Veeranjaneyulu Sadhanala , Yu-Xiang Wang , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is a widely used statistical test for detecting whether two samples are likely to come from the same distribution. Implementations typically recur on an article of Hodges from 1957. The advances in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Thomas Viehmann

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

Posterior predictive p-values (ppps) have become popular tools for Bayesian model assessment, being general-purpose and easy to use. However, interpretation can be difficult because their distribution is not uniform under the hypothesis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Sally Paganin , Perry de Valpine

Conformal inference is a versatile tool for building prediction sets in regression or classification. We study the false coverage proportion (FCP) in a simultaneous inference setting with a calibration sample of $n$ points and a test sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-19 Ulysse Gazin

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

Hypothesis testing is a central problem in statistical analysis, and there is currently a lack of differentially private tests which are both statistically valid and powerful. In this paper, we develop several new differentially private…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Jordan Awan , Yue Wang

Recent likelihood theory produces $p$-values that have remarkable accuracy and wide applicability. The calculations use familiar tools such as maximum likelihood values (MLEs), observed information and parameter rescaling. The usual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-08 M. Bédard , D. A. S. Fraser , A. Wong

A storm of favorable or critical publications regarding p-values-based procedures has been observed in both the theoretical and applied literature. We focus on valid definitions of p-values in the scenarios when composite null models are in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-16 Albert Vexler

We analyzed the effect of the deviation of the exact distribution of the p-values from the uniform distribution on the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test that was implemented as the second-level randomness test. We derived an inequality that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-18 Akihiro Yamaguchi , Asaki Saito

We propose a new goodness-of-fit test for copulas, based on empirical copula processes and their nonparametric bootstrap counterparts. The standard Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for copulas that takes the supremum of the empirical copula…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-03 Jean-David Fermanian , Dragan Radulovic , Marten Wegkamp

In this paper we study the asymptotic normality in high-dimensional linear regression. We focus on the case where the covariance matrix of the regression variables has a KMS structure, in asymptotic settings where the number of predictors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Saulius Jokubaitis , Remigijus Leipus

We extend the Kolmogorov--Smirnov (K-S) test to multiple dimensions by suggesting a $\mathbb{R}^n \rightarrow [0,1]$ mapping based on the probability content of the highest probability density region of the reference distribution under…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-05-18 Diana Harrison , David Sutton , Pedro Carvalho , Michael Hobson

In recent years, Bayesian nonparametric statistics has gathered extraordinary attention. Nonetheless, a relatively little amount of work has been expended on Bayesian nonparametric hypothesis testing. In this paper, a novel Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-08 Luai Al Labadi , Emad Masuadi , Mahmoud Zarepour

This paper derives the rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution for a class of Kolmogorov-Smirnov style test statistics for conditional moment inequality models for parameters on the boundary of the identified set under general…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

Checking how well a fitted model explains the data is one of the most fundamental parts of a Bayesian data analysis. However, existing model checking methods suffer from trade-offs between being well-calibrated, automated, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Jiawei Li , Jonathan H. Huggins
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