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相关论文: Multivariate Self-Exciting Processes with Dependen…

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Explaining artificial intelligence or machine learning models is increasingly important. To use such data-driven systems wisely we must understand how they interact with the world, including how they depend causally on data inputs. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Joshua R. Loftus , Lucius E. J. Bynum , Sakina Hansen

The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-12 Krzysztof J. Szajowski

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Haoming Yang , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

We introduce and study an alternative form of the chaotic expansion for counting processes using the Poisson imbedding representation; we name this alternative form \textit{pseudo-chaotic expansion}. As an application, we prove that the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-07 Caroline Hillairet , Anthony Reveillac

Dependent Dirichlet processes (DDP) have been widely applied to model data from distributions over collections of measures which are correlated in some way. On the other hand, in recent years, increasing research efforts in machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-17 Xiaoli Li

We present the Additive Poisson Process (APP), a novel framework that can model the higher-order interaction effects of the intensity functions in stochastic processes using lower dimensional projections. Our model combines the techniques…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Simon Luo , Feng Zhou , Lamiae Azizi , Mahito Sugiyama

The simulation of correlated multivariate Poisson processes with negative correlation between their components has many important applications in Finance, Insurance, Geophysics, and many other areas of applied probability. Introduced in our…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

We investigate in multidimensional compound Poisson processes (CPP) the relation between the dependence structure of the jump distribution and the dependence structure of the respective components of the CPP itself. For this purpose the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-01 Christian Palmes

We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

We give local and global existence and uniqueness results for systems of coupled FBSDEs in the multidimensional setting and with generators allowed to grow arbitrarily fast in the control variable. Our results are based on Malliavin…

概率论 · 数学 2016-12-12 Michael Kupper , Peng Luo , Ludovic Tangpi

Max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes play a central role in extreme-value theory and include the subclass of all max-stable processes. They allow for a constructive representation based on the pointwise maximum of random functions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-01 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

We present a nonparametric Bayesian joint model for multivariate continuous and categorical variables, with the intention of developing a flexible engine for multiple imputation of missing values. The model fuses Dirichlet process mixtures…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-14 Jared S. Murray , Jerome P. Reiter

Since its inception, the neural estimation of mutual information (MI) has demonstrated the empirical success of modeling expected dependency between high-dimensional random variables. However, MI is an aggregate statistic and cannot be used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Han Zhao , Makoto Yamada , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

In this paper, we study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with self-triggered strategies, where the idea of self-triggered control is extended to more generic MDP models. This extension broadens the application of self-triggering policies to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-18 Yunhan Huang , Quanyan Zhu

This paper develops computationally feasible methods for estimating random effects models in the context of regression modelling of multiple independent time series of discrete valued counts in which there is serial dependence. Given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-10 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , C. McKendry , R. T. Dean

We present the first exact analysis of some of the temporal properties of multivariate self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson processes, which constitute powerful representations of a large variety of systems with bursty events, for which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-08-26 A. Saichev , D. Sornette