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Transformers have increasingly become the de facto method to model sequential data with state-of-the-art performance. Due to its widespread use, being able to estimate and calibrate its modeling uncertainty is important to understand and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Long Minh Bui , Tho Tran Huu , Duy Dinh , Tan Minh Nguyen , Trong Nghia Hoang

A novel over-dispersed discrete distribution, namely the PoiTG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed transmuted geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-02 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

We recall the question of geometric integrators in the context of Poisson geometry, and explain their construction. These Poisson integrators are tested in some mechanical examples. Their properties are illustrated numerically and they are…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-29 Oscar Cosserat , Camille Laurent-Gengoux , Vladimir Salnikov

A framework to systematically decouple high order elliptic equations into combination of Poisson-type and Stokes-type equations is developed. The key is to systematically construct the underling commutative diagrams involving the complexes…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-07-03 Long Chen , Xuehai Huang

We establish Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for stabilizing statistics of $\beta$-mixing point processes and give explicit rates of convergence. Our findings are based on a general estimate of the total variation distance of a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-10-24 Nicolas Chenavier , Moritz Otto

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

Let $\eta_t$ be a Poisson point process of intensity $t\geq 1$ on some state space $\Y$ and $f$ be a non-negative symmetric function on $\Y^k$ for some $k\geq 1$. Applying $f$ to all $k$-tuples of distinct points of $\eta_t$ generates a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-11 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Under mild assumptions the equivalence of the mixed Poisson process with mixing parameter a real-valued random variable to the one with mixing distribution as well as to the mixed Poisson process in the sense of Huang is obtained, and a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-20 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

We introduce a novel formulation of motion planning, for continuous-time trajectories, as probabilistic inference. We first show how smooth continuous-time trajectories can be represented by a small number of states using sparse Gaussian…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-26 Mustafa Mukadam , Jing Dong , Xinyan Yan , Frank Dellaert , Byron Boots

High-dimensional self-exciting point processes have been widely used in many application areas to model discrete event data in which past and current events affect the likelihood of future events. In this paper, we are concerned with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Rebecca Willett

We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kyoya Uemura , Tomoyuki Obuch , Toshiyuki Tanaka

In this work, we present an extension of Gaussian process (GP) models with sophisticated parallelization and GPU acceleration. The parallelization scheme arises naturally from the modular computational structure w.r.t. datapoints in the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-10-21 Zhenwen Dai , Andreas Damianou , James Hensman , Neil Lawrence

We introduce a Poissonization method to study the coalescent structure of uniform samples from branching processes. This method relies on the simple observation that a uniform sample of size $k$ taken from a random set with positive…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-24 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Amaury Lambert

Consider compound Poisson processes with negative drift and no negative jumps, which converge to some spectrally positive L\'evy process with non-zero L\'evy measure. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the local time process,…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-24 Amaury Lambert , Florian Simatos

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

Poisson point processes provide a versatile framework for modeling the distributions of random points in space. When the space is partitioned into cells, each associated with a single generating point from the Poisson process, there appears…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-14 Jaume Anguera Peris , Joakim Jaldén

Recent advances in local models for point processes have highlighted the need for flexible methodologies to account for the spatial heterogeneity of external covariates influencing process intensity. In this work, we introduce tessellated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-11 Nicoletta D'Angelo

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber