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This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model that captures the spread of competing SIR epidemics over a population network. First, we provide a sufficient condition for the infection level…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-05 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

Recent research on social contagion processes has revealed the limitations of traditional networks, which capture only pairwise relationships, to characterize complex multiparty relationships and group influences properly. Social contagion…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-08-19 Lidan Liang , Shaoxuan Cui , Fangzhou Liu

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

Many algorithms have been proposed in prior literature to guarantee resilient multi-agent consensus in the presence of adversarial attacks or faults. The majority of prior work present excellent results that focus on discrete-time or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-23 James Usevitch , Dimitra Panagou

We study a dynamic infection spread model, inspired by the discrete time SIR model, where infections are spread via non-isolated infected individuals. While infection keeps spreading over time, a limited capacity testing is performed at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Batuhan Arasli , Sennur Ulukus

By analysing the diffusive dynamics of epidemics and of distress in complex networks, we study the effect of the assortativity on the robustness of the networks. We first determine by spectral analysis the thresholds above which…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-11-26 Gregorio D'Agostino , Antonio Scala , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

The decentralized patch distribution mechanism holds significant promise as an alternative to its centralized counterpart. For the purpose of accurately evaluating the performance of the decentralized patch distribution mechanism and based…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Lu-Xing Yang , Xiaofan Yang , Qingyi Zhu , Chenquan Gan

The generation interval is the time between the infection time of an infected person and the infection time of his or her infector. Probability density functions for generation intervals have been an important input for epidemic models and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Marc Lipsitch , James M. Robins

We study the critical properties of a model of information spreading based on the SIS epidemic model. Spreading rates decay with time, as ruled by two parameters, $\epsilon$ and $l$, that can be either constant or randomly distributed in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-12-12 Marlon Ramos , Nuno Crokidakis , Celia Anteneodo

An SEIRS epidemic with disease fatalities is introduced in a growing population (modelled as a super-critical linear birth and death process). The study of the initial phase of the epidemic is stochastic, while the analysis of the major…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-03-29 Tom Britton , Désiré Ouédraogo

Accurate identification of effective epidemic threshold is essential for understanding epidemic dynamics on complex networks. The existing studies on the effective epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model generally…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-06-14 Panpan Shu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Pengcheng Zhao , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

We study epidemic processes with immunization on very large 1-dimensional lattices, where at least some of the infections are non-local, with rates decaying as power laws p(x) ~ x^{-sigma-1} for large distances x. When starting with a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Peter Grassberger

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

We are interested in a variation of the SIR (Susceptible/Infected/Recovered) dynamics on the complete graph, in which infected individuals may only spread to neighboring susceptible individuals at fixed rate $\lambda>0$ while recovered…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-19 Igor Kortchemski

We consider subcritical branching processes with immigration which evolve under the influence of a random environment and study the tail distribution of life periods of such processes defined as the length of the time interval between the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-10 Doudou Li , Vladimir Vatutin , Mei Zhang

Denial of service attacks pose a threat in constant growth. This is mainly due to their tendency to gain in sophistication, ease of implementation, obfuscation and the recent improvements in occultation of fingerprints. On the other hand,…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Jorge Maestre Vidal , Ana Lucila Sandoval Orozco , Luis Javier García Villalba

We study the SIRS (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible) spreading processes over complex networks, by considering its exact $3^n$-state Markov chain model. The Markov chain model exhibits an interesting connection with its $2n$-state…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-03-17 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Babak Hassibi

In this article, we present a modification to the network-based stochastic SEIR epidemic model which allows for modifications to the underlying contact network to account for the effects of quarantine. We also discuss the changes needed to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-05 Chris Groendyke , Adam Combs

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi