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Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

The Caucasus region is characterized by heterogeneous and strong seismicity as a result of collision between Arabian and Eurasian tectonic plates. A rich variety of seismic events also distinguishes Azerbaijan, located in its south part. In…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-07-08 Sergii Skurativskyi , Sergiy Mykulyak , Yuliya Semenova , Kateryna Skurativska

We present a new method of data clustering applied to earthquake catalogs, with the goal of reconstructing the seismically active part of fault networks. We first use an original method to separate clustered events from uncorrelated…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

In models of triggered seismicity and in their inversion with empirical data, the detection threshold m_d is commonly equated to the magnitude m_0 of the smallest triggering earthquake. This unjustified assumption neglects the possibility…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 D. Sornette , M. J. Werner

In this study, we propose an analysis of the earthquake clusters that occurred in North-Eastern Italy and western Slovenia from 1977 to today. Given a mainshock generating alarm in the population, we are interested in forecasting if a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 S. Gentili , R. Di Giovambattista

A strong earthquake of magnitude Mw6.8 struck Western Greece on 25 October 2018 with epicenter at 37.515N 20.564E. It was preceded by an anomalous geolectric signal that was recorded on 2 October 2018 at a measuring station 70km away from…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-07-16 N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , P. A. Varotsos

The analysis of the earthquakes catalog of Greece for the period 1964 to 2010 indicates a continuously increasing no. of seismic events. A detailed determination of the cumulative seismic energy release, for specific earthquake magnitudes,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-12-30 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis , N. Zymaris

After the submission of the paper, three strong earthquakes with magnitude around 6.0-units occurred on October 17 and October 20, 2005, with epicenters in the Aegean Sea, at a distance {\em only} 100km from MYT station at which the intense…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , H. K. Tanaka , M. S. Lazaridou

It has been shown [Phys. Rev. E 84, 022101 (2011); Chaos 22, 023123 (2012)] that earthquakes of magnitude $M$ greater or equal to 7 are globally correlated. Such correlations were identified by studying the variance $\kappa_1$ of natural…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-04-21 N. V. Sarlis , S. -R. G. Christopoulos , E. S. Skordas

The behavior of seismicity in the area candidate to suffer a main shock is investigated after the observation of the Seismic Electric Signal activity until the impending mainshock. This makes use of the concept of natural time $\chi$ and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou , P. A. Varotsos

The seismic potential maps for Greece, particularly for the years 2005 and 2010 (end of 2009), have been calculated following the methodology of the "lithospheric seismic energy flow model". The compiled, for the year 2005, map is compared…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-01-12 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos

In March 2024, a swarm like seismic activity occurred north of Kefalonia Island, in the central Ionian Islands area. Following a machine-learning aided workflow, we compiled an enhanced seismic catalog of 2495 low to moderate magnitude…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-05-26 V. Anagnostou , E. Papadimitriou , V. Karakostas , T. Back

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We report precursory seismic patterns prior to the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes, as measured by four different methods based on changes in seismicity that can be used for earthquake forecasting: the b-value method, two methods of seismic…

地球物理 · 物理学 2016-11-08 K. Z. Nanjo , J. Izutsu , Y. Orihara , N. Furuse , S. Togo , H. Nitta , T. Okada , R. Tanaka , M. Kamogawa , T. Nagao

The seismicity of Greek region is studied under the prism of ESE & EDE methods for finding the inflection point of cumulative energy released. Main shocks are chosen from 106 years data. The result is that with both methods a critical time…

综合物理 · 物理学 2014-02-27 Demetris T. Christopoulos

The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory Seismic Electric Signals (SES)…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-04-08 P. A. Varotsos , N. V. Sarlis , E. S. Skordas , M. S. Lazaridou-Varotsos

A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

The research focuses on seismic events that occurred in Azerbaijan and adjacent territories, regions known for strong seismic activity. We analyze a catalog of recorded earthquakes between 2010 and 2023, extracting the locations of the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-10-20 Sergii Skurativskyi , Sergiy Mykulyak , Yuliya Semenova , Kateryna Skurativska
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