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In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

In pharmacoepidemiology, safety and effectiveness are frequently evaluated using readily available administrative and electronic health records data. In these settings, detailed confounder data are often not available in all data sources…

Penalized estimation can conduct variable selection and parameter estimation simultaneously. The general framework is to minimize a loss function subject to a penalty designed to generate sparse variable selection. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Zhu Wang

A hybrid censoring scheme is a mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. We study the estimation of parameters of weighted exponential distribution based on Type-II hybrid censored data. By applying EM algorithm, maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-02 Akram Kohansal , Saeid Rezakhah

There are now many options for doubly robust estimation; however, there is a concerning trend in the applied literature to believe that the combination of a propensity score and an adjusted outcome model automatically results in a doubly…

Reliable causal effect estimation from observational data requires adjustment for confounding and sufficient overlap in covariate distributions between treatment groups. However, in high-dimensional settings, lack of overlap often inflates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Linying Yang , Robin J. Evans

Since Pearson [Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. A, 185 (1894), pp. 71-110] first applied the method of moments (MM) for modeling data as a mixture of one-dimensional Gaussians, moment-based estimation methods have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Liu Zhang , Oscar Mickelin , Sheng Xu , Amit Singer

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Applications of structural equation models (SEMs) are often restricted to linear associations between variables. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in non-linear models may be complex and require numerical integration. Furthermore, ML…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-15 Klaus Kähler Holst , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen

We provide a unified approach to MM-estimation with auxiliary scale for balanced linear models with structured covariance matrices. This approach leads to estimators that are highly robust against outliers and highly efficient for normal…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Hendrik Paul Lopuhaa

Descriptive statistics for parametric models are currently highly sensative to departures, gross errors, and/or random errors. Here, leveraging the structures of parametric distributions and their central moment kernel distributions, a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-11 Li Tuobang

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Sampling-based methods, e.g., Deep Ensembles and Bayesian Neural Nets have become promising approaches to improve the quality of uncertainty estimation and robust generalization. However, they suffer from a large model size and high latency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

Confidence intervals based on penalized maximum likelihood estimators such as the LASSO, adaptive LASSO, and hard-thresholding are analyzed. In the known-variance case, the finite-sample coverage properties of such intervals are determined…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-03-16 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

Markov State Models (MSM) are widely used to elucidate dynamic properties of molecular systems from unbiased Molecular Dynamics (MD). However, the implementation of reweighting schemes for MSMs to analyze biased simulations, for example…

化学物理 · 物理学 2020-11-26 Stefanie Kieninger , Luca Donati , Bettina G. Keller

We describe here a framework for a certain class of multiscale likelihood factorizations wherein, in analogy to a wavelet decomposition of an L^2 function, a given likelihood function has an alternative representation as a product of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Eric D. Kolaczyk , Robert D. Nowak

In linear regression, the least squares (LS) estimator has certain optimality properties if the errors are normally distributed. This assumption is often violated in practice, partly caused by data outliers. Robust estimators can cope with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Sukru Acitas , Peter Filzmoser , Birdal Senoglu

The four-parameter kappa distribution (K4D) is a generalized form of some commonly used distributions such as generalized logistic, generalized Pareto, generalized Gumbel, and generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions. Owing to its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Nipada Papukdee , Jeong-Soo Park , Piyapatr Busababodhin