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The classical Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm can be extended to generate non-reversible Markov chains. This is achieved by means of a modification of the acceptance probability, using the notion of vorticity matrix. The resulting Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens

We propose a new class of learning algorithms that combines variational approximation and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Naive algorithms that use the variational approximation as proposal distribution can perform poorly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Nando de Freitas , Pedro Hojen-Sorensen , Michael I. Jordan , Stuart Russell

The computation of Bayesian estimates of system parameters and functions of them on the basis of observed system performance data is a common problem within system identification. This is a previously studied issue where stochastic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Importance sampling and independent Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) are among the fundamental building blocks of Monte Carlo methods. Both require a proposal distribution that globally approximates the target distribution. The Radon-Nikodym…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 George Deligiannidis , Pierre E. Jacob , El Mahdi Khribch , Guanyang Wang

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Milan Papež , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

Exact parameter and trajectory inference in state-space models is typically achieved by one of two methods: particle marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) or particle Gibbs (PGibbs). PMMH is a pseudo-marginal algorithm which jointly proposes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Adrien Corenflos

A classical approach for approximating expectations of functions w.r.t. partially known distributions is to compute the average of function values along a trajectory of a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) Markov chain. A key part in the MH algorithm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-20 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

We analyse computational efficiency of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms with stochastic AR(1) process proposals. These proposals include, as a subclass, discretized Langevin diffusion (e.g. MALA) and discretized Hamiltonian dynamics (e.g.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-23 Richard A. Norton , Colin Fox

Over the last decades, various "non-linear" MCMC methods have arisen. While appealing for their convergence speed and efficiency, their practical implementation and theoretical study remain challenging. In this paper, we introduce a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-04 Grégoire Clarté , Antoine Diez , Jean Feydy

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

We examine the behaviour of the pseudo-marginal random walk Metropolis algorithm, where evaluations of the target density for the accept/reject probability are estimated rather than computed precisely. Under relatively general conditions on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

A significant part of MCMC methods can be considered as the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm with different proposal distributions. From this point of view, the problem of constructing a sampler can be reduced to the question - how to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Kirill Neklyudov , Evgenii Egorov , Pavel Shvechikov , Dmitry Vetrov

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are one of the most popular classes of algorithms for sampling from a target probability distribution. A rising trend in recent years consists in analyzing the convergence of MCMC algorithms using…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-30 Federica Milinanni

In this paper, we study the asymptotic variance of sample path averages for inhomogeneous Markov chains that evolve alternatingly according to two different $\pi$-reversible Markov transition kernels $P$ and $Q$. More specifically, our main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Florian Maire , Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson

Probabilistic programming languages can simplify the development of machine learning techniques, but only if inference is sufficiently scalable. Unfortunately, Bayesian parameter estimation for highly coupled models such as regressions and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-10 Yutian Chen , Vikash Mansinghka , Zoubin Ghahramani

The multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) algorithm is an extension of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm by selecting the proposed state among multiple trials according to some weight function. Although MTM has gained great popularity owing to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Hyunwoong Chang , Changwoo J. Lee , Zhao Tang Luo , Huiyan Sang , Quan Zhou

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

The performance of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms is highly sensitive to the choice of step size, and miss-specification can lead to severe loss of efficiency. We study algorithms with randomized step sizes, considering both…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Sebastiano Grazzi , Samuel Livingstone , Lionel Riou-Durand