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Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Independent or i.i.d. innovations is an essential assumption in the literature for analyzing a vector time series. However, this assumption is either too restrictive for a real-life time series to satisfy or is hard to verify through a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-12 Yunyi Zhang

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

This paper presents a bootstrapped p-value white noise test based on the maximum correlation, for a time series that may be weakly dependent under the null hypothesis. The time series may be prefiltered residuals. The test statistic is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Jonathan B. Hill , Kaiji Motegi

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

We introduce a novel class of nonlinear tests for serial dependence in functional time series, grounded in the functional quantile autocorrelation framework. Unlike traditional approaches based on the classical autocovariance kernel, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun , Hanlin Shang

This paper considers the estimation and testing of a class of locally stationary time series factor models with evolutionary temporal dynamics. In particular, the entries and the dimension of the factor loading matrix are allowed to vary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-06 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

The factor modeling for high-dimensional time series is powerful in discovering latent common components for dimension reduction and information extraction. Most available estimation methods can be divided into two categories: the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang , Qiwei Yao , Bo Zhang

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

We propose a new procedure for white noise testing of a functional time series. Our approach is based on an explicit representation of the $L^2$-distance between the spectral density operator and its best ($L^2$-)approximation by a spectral…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-06 Pramita Bagchi , Vaidotas Characiejus , Holger Dette

This article proposes a new approach to modeling high-dimensional time series by treating a $p$-dimensional time series as a nonsingular linear transformation of certain common factors and idiosyncratic components. Unlike the approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

We propose a high-dimensional white noise test that captures serial correlations within and across component series without specifying an alternative model. The test statistic is a U-statistic based on sample autocovariances. Under the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Yuanya Xu

We propose a new omnibus test for vector white noise using the maximum absolute auto-correlations and cross-correlations of the component series. Based on the newly established approximation by the $L_\infty$-norm of a normal random vector,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Jinyuan Chang , Qiwei Yao , Wen Zhou

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

We assume a second-order source separation model where the observed multivariate time series is a linear mixture of latent, temporally uncorrelated time series with some components pure white noise. To avoid the modelling of noise, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-07 Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Joni Virta

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue
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