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The use of statistical methods in sport analytics has gained a rapidly growing interest over the last decade, and nowadays is common practice. In particular, the interest in understanding and predicting an athlete's performance throughout…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-21 Patric Dolmeta , Raffaele Argiento , Silvia Montagna

Athletic performance follows a typical pattern of improvement and decline during a career. This pattern is also often observed within-seasons, as an athlete aims for their performance to peak at key events such as the Olympic Games or World…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-12 M. Spyropoulou , J. G. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

Because the decathlon tests many facets of athleticism, including sprinting, throwing, jumping, and endurance, many consider it to be the ultimate test of athletic ability. On this view, estimating the maximal decathlon score and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Paul-Hieu V. Nguyen , James M. Smoliga , Benton Lindaman , Sameer K. Deshpande

We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for balancing past performance with crucial covariates, such as…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Shane T. Jensen , Blake McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

Statistical modelling of sports data has become more and more popular in the recent years and different types of models have been proposed to achieve a variety of objectives: from identifying the key characteristics which lead a team to win…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-21 Andrea Gabrio

The use of statistical modeling in baseball has received substantial attention recently in both the media and academic community. We focus on a relatively under-explored topic: the use of statistical models for the analysis of fielding…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-14 Shane T. Jensen , Kenneth E. Shirley , Abraham J. Wyner

Numerous statistics have been proposed for the measure of offensive ability in major league baseball. While some of these measures may offer moderate predictive power in certain situations, it is unclear which simple offensive metrics are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , Alexander Braunstein , James Piette , Shane T. Jensen

Shot charts in basketball analytics provide an indispensable tool for evaluating players' shooting performance by visually representing the distribution of field goal attempts across different court locations. However, conventional methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca , Dimitris Karlis

We consider the task of determining a football player's ability for a given event type, for example, scoring a goal. We propose an interpretable Bayesian model which is fit using variational inference methods. We implement a Poisson model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-24 Gavin A. Whitaker , Ricardo Silva , Daniel Edwards , Ioannis Kosmidis

Volleyball is a team sport with unique and specific characteristics. We introduce a new two level-hierarchical Bayesian model which accounts for theses volleyball specific characteristics. In the first level, we model the set outcome with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-16 Leonardo Egidi , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Sports organizations often want to estimate athlete strengths. For games with scored outcomes, a common approach is to assume observed game scores follow a normal distribution conditional on athletes' latent abilities, which may change over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Jonathan Che , Mark Glickman

Machine learning inference pipelines commonly encountered in data science and industries often require real-time responsiveness due to their user-facing nature. However, meeting this requirement becomes particularly challenging when certain…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Chaokun Chang , Eric Lo , Chunxiao Ye

In this article, a new model based on techniques of differential equations is introduced to predict the athletic performance based training load and a data sample of the physical form of athletes arises. This model is an extension of the…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2016-12-28 Marcos Matabuena , Rosana Rodriguez

Computer Vision developments are enabling significant advances in many fields, including sports. Many applications built on top of Computer Vision technologies, such as tracking data, are nowadays essential for every top-level analyst,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-01-19 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Though athletics statistics are abundant, it is a difficult task to quantitatively compare performances from different events of track, field, and road running in a meaningful way. There are several commonly-used methods, but each has its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-08-27 Brian Godsey

Prediction is critical for decision-making under uncertainty and lends validity to statistical inference. With targeted prediction, the goal is to optimize predictions for specific decision tasks of interest, which we represent via…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-18 Daniel R. Kowal

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

We suppose that performance is a random variable whose expectation is related to training inputs, and we study four performance measures in a statistical model that relates performance to training. Our aim is to carry out a robust…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-07 Phil Scarf , Mansour Shrahili , Naif Alotaibi , Simon Jobson , Louis Passfield

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

The performance of many machine learning models depends on their hyper-parameter settings. Bayesian Optimization has become a successful tool for hyper-parameter optimization of machine learning algorithms, which aims to identify optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Lidan Wang , Franck Dernoncourt , Trung Bui
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