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Surrogate models have become ubiquitous in science and engineering for their capability of emulating expensive computer codes, necessary to model and investigate complex phenomena. Bayesian emulators based on Gaussian processes adequately…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-02 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

In applications of Gaussian processes where quantification of uncertainty is a strict requirement, it is necessary to accurately characterize the posterior distribution over Gaussian process covariance parameters. Normally, this is done by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-01 Xiaoyu Xiong , Václav Šmídl , Maurizio Filippone

Bayesian shrinkage methods have generated a lot of recent interest as tools for high-dimensional regression and model selection. These methods naturally facilitate tractable uncertainty quantification and incorporation of prior information.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-17 Bala Rajaratnam , Doug Sparks , Kshitij Khare , Liyuan Zhang

For Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, one of the greatest discrepancies between theory and system is the scan order - while most theoretical development on the mixing time analysis deals with random updates, real-world systems are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-10 Heng Guo , Kaan Kara , Ce Zhang

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

We investigate the complexity of covariance matrix estimation for Gibbs distributions based on dependent samples from a Markov chain. We show that when $\pi$ satisfies a Poincar\'e inequality and the chain possesses a spectral gap, we can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang

The maximum independent set (MIS) problem is a well-studied combinatorial optimization problem that naturally arises in many applications, such as wireless communication, information theory and statistical mechanics. MIS problem is NP-hard,…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2015-04-20 Rémi Varloot , Ana Bušić , Anne Bouillard

In the past decade, many Bayesian shrinkage models have been developed for linear regression problems where the number of covariates, $p$, is large. Computing the intractable posterior are often done with three-block Gibbs samplers (3BG),…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-25 Rui Jin , Aixin Tan

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or diffusions are continuous-valued continuous-time stochastic processes widely used in the applied and mathematical sciences. Simulating paths from these processes is usually an intractable problem,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Qi Wang , Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Bayesian regression remains a simple but effective tool based on Bayesian inference techniques. For large-scale applications, with complicated posterior distributions, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are applied. To improve the well-known…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-28 Joris Tavernier , Jaak Simm , Adam Arany , Karl Meerbergen , Yves Moreau

The pairwise influence matrix of Dobrushin has long been used as an analytical tool to bound the rate of convergence of Gibbs sampling. In this work, we use Dobrushin influence as the basis of a practical tool to certify and efficiently…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Ioannis Mitliagkas , Lester Mackey

We use a non-Markovian coupling and small modifications of techniques from the theory of finite Markov chains to analyze some Markov chains on continuous state spaces. The first is a Gibbs sampler on narrow contingency tables, the second a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-25 Aaron Smith

In this paper the problem of restoration of non-negative sparse signals is addressed in the Bayesian framework. We introduce a new probabilistic hierarchical prior, based on the Generalized Hyperbolic (GH) distribution, which explicitly…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-12 Mehdi Chahine Amrouche , Hervé Carfantan , Jérôme Idier

This work presents a tractable approach to multi-object posterior computation under a generic measurement likelihood function. While filtering is a popular solution, valuable historical information is discarded. Posterior inference, which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Ba Tuong Vo , Ba-Ngu Vo

We present a Bayesian scheme for the approximate diagonalisation of several square matrices which are not necessarily symmetric. A Gibbs sampler is derived to simulate samples of the common eigenvectors and the eigenvalues for these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-22 Mingjun Zhong , Mark Girolami

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Infinite Hidden Markov Models (iHMM's) are an attractive, nonparametric generalization of the classical Hidden Markov Model which can automatically infer the number of hidden states in the system. However, due to the infinite-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-10 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Shane Gu , Hong Ge , Zoubin Ghahramani

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

Gaussian processes (GPs) are generally regarded as the gold standard surrogate model for emulating computationally expensive computer-based simulators. However, the problem of training GPs as accurately as possible with a minimum number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He