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In this article, we derive a novel non-reversible, continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, called Coordinate Sampler, based on a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), which can be seen as a variant of the Zigzag…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

Markov chain (MC) algorithms are ubiquitous in machine learning and statistics and many other disciplines. Typically, these algorithms can be formulated as acceptance rejection methods. In this work we present a novel estimator applicable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Ingmar Schuster , Ilja Klebanov

Gaussian process (GP) models that combine both categorical and continuous input variables have found use in analysis of longitudinal data and computer experiments. However, standard inference for these models has the typical cubic scaling,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-10 Juho Timonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Computational couplings of Markov chains provide a practical route to unbiased Monte Carlo estimation that can utilize parallel computation. However, these approaches depend crucially on chains meeting after a small number of transitions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-14 Brian L. Trippe , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

The PAC-Bayesian approach is a powerful set of techniques to derive non- asymptotic risk bounds for random estimators. The corresponding optimal distribution of estimators, usually called the Gibbs posterior, is unfortunately intractable.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-16 Pierre Alquier , James Ridgway , Nicolas Chopin

The particle-based, rapid incremental smoother (PARIS) is a sequential Monte Carlo technique allowing for efficient online approximation of expectations of additive functionals under Feynman--Kac path distributions. Under weak assumptions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-22 Gabriel Cardoso , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

We characterise the convergence of the Gibbs sampler which samples from the joint posterior distribution of parameters and missing data in hierarchical linear models with arbitrary symmetric error distributions. We show that the convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We consider various versions of adaptive Gibbs and Metropolis within-Gibbs samplers, which update their selection probabilities (and perhaps also their proposal distributions) on the fly during a run, by learning as they go in an attempt to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-01-19 Krzysztof Latuszynski , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The combinatorial sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) has been demonstrated to be an efficient complementary method to the standard Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for Bayesian phylogenetic tree inference using biological sequences. It is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Shijia Wang , Liangliang Wang

In this paper, we study Bayesian approach for solving large scale linear inverse problems arising in various scientific and engineering fields. We propose a fused $L_{1/2}$ prior with edge-preserving and sparsity-promoting properties and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan , Qingping Zhou

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

Latent factor GARCH models are difficult to estimate using Bayesian methods because standard Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce slowly mixing and inefficient draws from the posterior distributions of the model parameters. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-07 Michael K. Pitt , Jamie Hall , Robert Kohn

We present a simple algorithm that perfectly samples configurations from the unique Gibbs measure of a spin system on a potentially infinite graph $G$. The sampling algorithm assumes strong spatial mixing together with subexponential growth…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-07-01 Konrad Anand , Mark Jerrum

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

In this article, we consider Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms for exploring the intractable posterior density associated with Bayesian probit linear mixed models under improper priors on the regression coefficients and variance…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-26 Xin Wang , Vivekananda Roy

A Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if it converges to its in- variant distribution at a geometric rate in total variation norm. We study geo- metric ergodicity of deterministic and random scan versions of the two-variable Gibbs…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-22 Aixin Tan , Galin L. Jones , James P. Hobert

Stochastic Gradient Descent with a constant learning rate (constant SGD) simulates a Markov chain with a stationary distribution. With this perspective, we derive several new results. (1) We show that constant SGD can be used as an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Stephan Mandt , Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

Probabilistic models are conceptually powerful tools for finding structure in data, but their practical effectiveness is often limited by our ability to perform inference in them. Exact inference is frequently intractable, so approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-25 Robert Nishihara , Iain Murray , Ryan P. Adams

A fundamental task in machine learning and related fields is to perform inference on Bayesian networks. Since exact inference takes exponential time in general, a variety of approximate methods are used. Gibbs sampling is one of the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-23 Daniel Seita , Haoyu Chen , John Canny