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相关论文: Asymptotically efficient estimators for tail proba…

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This paper focuses on rare events associated with the tail probabilities of the extremal eigenvalues in the $\beta$-Jacobi ensemble, which plays a critical role in both multivariate statistical analysis and statistical physics. Under the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-26 Yutao Ma , Siyu Wang

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

Due to globalization and relaxed market regulation, we have assisted to an increasing of extremal dependence in international markets. As a consequence, several measures of tail dependence have been stated in literature in recent years,…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-10 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-03 Anne-Laure Fougères , Laurens de Haan , Cécile Mercadier

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

In a companion paper (McRobie(2013) arxiv:1304.3918), a simple set of `elemental' estimators was presented for the Generalized Pareto tail parameter. Each elemental estimator: involves only three log-spacings; is absolutely unbiased for all…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-17 Allan McRobie

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

In this paper, we discuss the application of extreme value theory in the context of stationary $\beta$-mixing sequences that belong to the Fr\'echet domain of attraction. In particular, we propose a methodology to construct bias-corrected…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-24 Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Armelle Guillou

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The extremal index $\theta$, a measure of the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary process, plays an important role in extreme value analyses. We estimate $\theta$ semiparametrically, using the relationship between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-02 Paul J. Northrop

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

Multivariate extreme value theory is concerned with modeling the joint tail behavior of several random variables. Existing work mostly focuses on asymptotic dependence, where the probability of observing a large value in one of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Michaël Lalancette , Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We establish sharp tail asymptotics for component-wise extreme values of bivariate Gaussian random vectors with arbitrary correlation between the components. We consider two scaling regimes for the tail event in which we demonstrate the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Remco van der Hofstad , Harsha Honnappa

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-14 Christian Y. Robert

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

A central issue in the theory of extreme values focuses on suitable conditions such that the well-known results for the limiting distributions of the maximum of i.i.d. sequences can be applied to stationary ones. In this context, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-07 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira
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