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Standard gradient descent methods yield point estimates with no measure of confidence. This limitation is acute in overparameterized and low-data regimes, where models have many parameters relative to available data and can easily overfit.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-22 Carlos Stein Brito

We provide new theoretical results in the field of inverse regression methods for dimension reduction. Our approach is based on the study of some empirical processes that lie close to a certain dimension reduction subspace, called the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-02 François Portier

The inflated beta regression model aims to enable the modeling of responses in the intervals $(0,1]$, $[0,1)$ or $[0,1]$. In this model, hypothesis testing is often performed based on the likelihood ratio statistic. The critical values are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-03 Laís H. Loose , Fábio M. Bayer , Tarciana L. Pereira

We investigate properties of a bootstrap-based methodology for testing hypotheses about equality of certain characteristics of the distributions between different populations in the context of functional data. The suggested testing…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Motivated by a neuroscience question about synchrony detection in spike train analysis, we deal with the independence testing problem for point processes. We introduce non-parametric test statistics, which are rescaled general…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-28 Mélisande Albert , Yann Bouret , Magalie Fromont , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

This paper introduces a copula-based model for independent but non-identically distributed data with heteroscedastic extremes marginal and changing tail dependence structures. We establish a unified framework for inference by proving the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Yifan Hu , Yanxi Hou

This study focuses on finite-sample inference on the non-linear Bures-Wasserstein manifold and introduces a generalized bootstrap procedure for estimating Bures-Wasserstein barycenters. We provide non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-26 Alexey Kroshnin , Vladimir Spokoiny , Alexandra Suvorikova

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang

Multivariate time series present many challenges, especially when they are high dimensional. The paper's focus is twofold. First, we address the subject of consistently estimating the autocovariance sequence; this is a sequence of matrices…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Dimitris N. Politis

Researchers frequently test and improve model fit by holding a sample constant and varying the model. We propose methods to test and improve sample fit by holding a model constant and varying the sample. Much as the bootstrap is a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-15 Gabriel Okasa , Kenneth A. Younge

We propose a new bootstrap-based online algorithm for stochastic linear bandit problems. The key idea is to adopt residual bootstrap exploration, in which the agent estimates the next step reward by re-sampling the residuals of mean reward…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Shuang Wu , Chi-Hua Wang , Yuantong Li , Guang Cheng

Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

AI/ML methods are increasingly used in economics to generate binary variables (or labels) via classification algorithms. When these generated variables are included as covariates in regressions, even small misclassification errors can…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Timothy Christensen , Silvia Goncalves , Benoit Perron

In this thesis we study two-dimensional conformal field theories with Virasoro algebra symmetry, following the conformal bootstrap approach. Under the assumption that degenerate fields exist, we provide an extension of the analytic…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2019-02-06 Santiago Migliaccio

This paper investigates the theoretical underpinnings of two fundamental statistical inference problems, the construction of confidence sets and large-scale simultaneous hypothesis testing, in the presence of heavy-tailed data. With…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-19 Xi Chen , Wen-Xin Zhou

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Generalized linear model or GLM constitutes a large class of models and essentially extends the ordinary linear regression by connecting the mean of the response variable with the covariate through appropriate link functions. On the other…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

This paper derives new asymptotic results for the adaptive LASSO estimator in cointegrating regressions, allowing for uncertainty about whether the regressors are exact unit root processes. We study model selection probabilities, estimator…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-13 Karsten Reichold , Ulrike Schneider