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We present a new estimator of the restricted mean survival time in randomized trials where there is right censoring that may depend on treatment and baseline variables. The proposed estimator leverages prognostic baseline variables to…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-22 Iván Díaz , Elizabeth Colantuoni , Daniel F. Hanley , Michael Rosenblum

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

We present a new backfitting algorithm estimating the complex structured non-parametric survival model of Scheike (2001) without having to use smoothing. The considered model is a non-parametric survival model with two time-scales that are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Munir Hiabu , Jens P. Nielsen , Thomas H. Scheike

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

Generalized linear models are flexible tools for the analysis of diverse datasets, but the classical formulation requires that the parametric component is correctly specified and the data contain no atypical observations. To address these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-21 Ioannis Kalogridis , Gerda Claeskens , Stefan Van Aelst

Multi-state models are increasingly being used to model complex epidemiological and clinical outcomes over time. It is common to assume that the models are Markov, but the assumption can often be unrealistic. The Markov assumption is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-26 N. Maltzahn , R. Hoff , O. O. Aalen , I. S. Mehlum , H. Putter , J. M. Gran

A case-control family study is a study where individuals with a disease of interest (case probands) and individuals without the disease (control probands) are randomly sampled from a well-defined population. Possibly right-censored age at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-04 David M. Zucker , Malka Gorfine

Safety analyses in terms of adverse events (AEs) are an important aspect of benefit-risk assessments of therapies. Compared to efficacy analyses AE analyses are often rather simplistic. The probability of an AE of a specific type is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-20 Regina Stegherr , Claudia Schmoor , Michael Lübbert , Tim Friede , Jan Beyersmann

In the nonparametric regression setting, we construct an estimator which is a continuous function interpolating the data points with high probability, while attaining minimax optimal rates under mean squared risk on the scale of H\"older…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-28 Julien Chhor , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Various members of the class of weighted insurance premiums and risk capital allocation rules have been researched from a number of perspectives. Corresponding formulas in the case of parametric families of distributions have been derived,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-11 Nadezhda Gribkova , Ričardas Zitikis

This paper considers the problem of multi-sample nonparametric comparison of counting processes with panel count data, which arise naturally when recurrent events are considered. Such data frequently occur in medical follow-up studies and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-21 N. Balakrishnan , Xingqiu Zhao

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

This paper addresses the problem of estimating, in the presence of random censoring as well as competing risks, the extreme value index of the (sub)-distribution function associated to one particular cause, in the heavy-tail case.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

We construct realistic spot and equity option market simulators for a single underlying on the basis of normalizing flows. We address the high-dimensionality of market observed call prices through an arbitrage-free autoencoder that…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-14 Magnus Wiese , Ben Wood , Alexandre Pachoud , Ralf Korn , Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Lianjun Bai

The paper proposes an original methodology for constructing quantitative statistical models based on multidimensional distribution functions constructed on the basis of the insurance companies' data on inshurance policies (including…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-08-15 Valery Baskakov , Nikolay Sheparnev , Evgeny Yanenko

This paper proposes a model-free nonparametric estimator of conditional quantile of a time series regression model where the covariate vector is repeated many times for different values of the response. This type of data is abound in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Soudeep Deb , Kaushik Jana

In this paper, we address the identification and estimation of insurance models where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes random damages and allows for several claims, while insurers…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-14 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong , Haiqing Xu

Prudent management of insurance investment portfolios requires competent asset pricing of fixed-income assets with time-to-event contingent cash flows, such as consumer asset-backed securities (ABS). Current market pricing techniques for…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-27 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

We provide a new non-parametric Fourier procedure to estimate the trajectory of the instantaneous covariance process (from discrete observations of a multidimensional price process) in the presence of jumps extending the seminal work…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-23 Christa Cuchiero , Josef Teichmann